|
http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol13/18/
doi:10.4054/DemRes.2005.13.18
| |
|
| Click the icon to view and/or download the PDF file.
Once you are in the PDF file, use your browser back button to return to this page.
| Abstract
To address the question of whether the sex differential in mortality will in the future rise, fall, or stay the same, this study uses the relative smoking prevalence among males and females to forecast future changes in relative smoking-attributed mortality. Data on 21 high income nations from 1975 to 2000 and a lag between smoking prevalence and mortality allow forecasts up to 2020.
Averaged across nations, the results reveal narrowing of measures of the sex differential in smoking mortality. However, continued widening of the differential in non-smoking mortality would counter narrowing due to smoking and lead to future increases in the female advantage overall, particularly in nations at late stages of the cigarette epidemic (such as the United States and the United Kingdom) where narrowing of the smoking differential has already begun to slow. Author's affiliation
Fred Pampel
University of Colorado at Boulder, United States of America Keywords
forecast, forecasting, mortality, sex differences, smoking Word count (Main text)
8122 Similar articles in Demographic Research
 |
[21-30] Diverging trends in female old-age mortality: A reappraisal (smoking, mortality) |
|
[20-5] A systematic literature review of studies analyzing the effect of sex, age, education, marital status, obesity, and smoking on health transitions (smoking, mortality) |
|
[13-17] Trends in gender differences in accidents mortality: Relationships to changing gender roles and other societal trends (sex differences, mortality) |
|
[S2-4] Russian mortality beyond vital statistics: Effects of social status and behaviours on deaths from circulatory disease and external causes - a case-control study of men aged 20-55 years in Urdmurtia, 1998-99 (smoking, mortality) |
[ Back to previous page ]
|
