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Tempo effects in mortality
An appraisal

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Michel Guillot

 
VOLUME 14 - ARTICLE 1
PAGES 1 - 26
Date Received: 9 Mar 2005
Date Published: 24 Jan 2006

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol14/1/

doi:10.4054/DemRes.2006.14.1
   
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Abstract

This study examines the existence of tempo effects in mortality and evaluates the procedure developed by Bongaarts and Feeney for calculating a tempo-adjusted life expectancy. It is shown that Bongaarts and Feeney's index can be interpreted as an indicator reflecting current mortality conditions under specific assumptions regarding the effects of changing period mortality conditions on the timing of future cohort deaths.
It is argued, however, that currently there is no clear evidence about the existence of such effects in actual populations. This paper concludes that until the existence of these effects can be demonstrated, it is preferable to continue using the conventional life expectancy as an indicator of current mortality conditions.

Author's affiliation
Michel Guillot
University of Pennsylvania, United States of America

Keywords
demographic methods, formal demography, measurement issues, mortality models, tempo adjustments, tempo effects

Word count (Main text)
8144

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file[24-25] On the correspondence between CAL and lagged cohort life expectancy
file[21-17] Estimating health expectancies from two cross-sectional surveys: The intercensal method
file[20-24] The effect of changes in fertility on the age distribution of stable populations

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