Volume 15 - Article 17 | Pages 485-498

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research: Part 2: Marriage and first birth

By Jan M. Hoem, Michaela Kreyenfeld

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Date received:24 Mar 2006
Date published:29 Nov 2006
Word count:2499
Keywords:anticipatory analysis, conditioning on the future, intentionality, marriage and first childbearing
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2006.15.17
 

Abstract

In the second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first childbearing to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis. We show that an anticipatory approach cannot be used to represent intentionality: People may marry with the intention of having a child, but the analyst should be wary of using anticipatory analysis to pick that up.

Author's Affiliation

Jan M. Hoem - Stockholm University, Sweden [Email]
Michaela Kreyenfeld - Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany [Email]

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