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150 Years of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands

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Peter Ekamper
Frans Van Poppel
Coen Van Duin
Joop Garssen

 
VOLUME 21 - ARTICLE 14
PAGES 385 - 426
Date Received: 12 Nov 2008
Date Published: 6 Oct 2009

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/14/

doi:10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.14
   
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Abstract
Even in present-day high-income countries, there is a lot of evidence of a high degree of vulnerability of the population to both high and low outdoor temperatures. The magnitude of temperature-related mortality is strongly related to a wide variety of social, economic, and behavioural factors. To gain insight into the changing impact of cold and heat on mortality, we analyze Dutch individual death records in relation to daily temperature for the period 1855-2006 for one of the 11 Dutch provinces. Making use of negative binomial regression analysis, we study whether the effect of temperature varied by age, sex, and social class, and analyze the changes in the vulnerability to temperature fluctuations.

Author's affiliation
Peter Ekamper
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, Netherlands
Frans Van Poppel
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, Netherlands
Coen Van Duin
Statistics Netherlands, Netherlands
Joop Garssen
Statistics Netherlands, Netherlands

Keywords
cold spells, heat waves, infant mortality, mortality, Netherlands, temperature

Word count (Main text)
9948

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