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The effects of shocks in early life mortality on later life expectancy and mortality compression: A cohort analysis

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Mikko Myrskyla

 
VOLUME 22 - ARTICLE 12
PAGES 289 - 320
Date Received: 30 Jul 2008
Date Published: 5 Mar 2010

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol22/12/

doi:10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.12
   
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Abstract

I study how shocks in cohort-level early life conditions, as represented by deviations from trend in mortality before age 5, affect later mortality. I use data for six European countries and find that shocks that increase infant mortality decrease later life expectancy between ages 5-30. The effect is strong for England and Wales but small or insignificant for other countries. Shocks that increase mortality at ages 1-5 increase life expectancy between ages 5-30 and compress the mortality distribution. For both shocks the effects are weak at older ages. These results suggest that early life conditions have a transitory effect and potentially only little influence on old-age mortality.

Author's affiliation
Mikko Myrskyla
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany

Keywords
cohort effects, early life conditions, mortality

Word count (Main text)
6896

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