Volume 22 - Article 15 | Pages 383-472
Projection of populations by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for 120 countries for 2005-2050
References
United Nations (1995). Women’s education and fertility behaviour: Recent evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys. New York: United Nations (ST/ESA/SER.R/137).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Abou-Gamrah, H. (1982). Fertility levels and differentials by mother’s education in some countries of the ECWA region. In: Determinants of Fertility in Some African and Asian Countries. Cairo: Cairo Demographic Centre: 191-211 (Research Monograph Series, No. 10).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Ahlburg, A.A., Kelley, A.C., and Mason, K.O. (eds.) (1996). The Impact of Population Growth on Well-Being in Developing Countries. Berlin: Springer Verlag.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Ahuja, V. and Filmer, D. (1996). Educational attainment in development countries: New estimates and projections disaggregated by gender. Journal of Educational Planning and Administration X(3): 229-254.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Alachkar, A. and Serow, W.J. (1988). The socioeconomic determinants of mortality: An international comparison. Genus 44(3-4): 131-151.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Angrist, J., Lavy, V., and Schlosser, A. (2006). New evidence on the causal link between the quantity and quality of children. Bonn: Institute for the Study of Labour (IZA Discussion Paper, No. 2075, April 2006).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Avong, H.N. (2001). Religion and fertility among the Atyap in Nigeria. Journal of Biosocial Science 33(1): 1-12.
| Weblink | doi:10.1017/S0021932001000013 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Becker, G. (1991). A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Birdsall, N.M. and Griffin, C.C. (1988). Fertility and poverty in developing countries. Journal of Policy Modeling 10(1): 29-55.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/0161-8938(88)90034-8 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bledsoe, C.H., Casterline, J.B., Johnson-Kuhn, J.A., and Haaga, J.G. (1999). Critical Perspectives on Schooling and Fertility in the Developing World. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bloemen, H. and Kalwij, A.S. (2001). Female labor market transition and the timing of births: A simultaneous analysis of the effects of schooling. Labour Economics 8(5): 593-620.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0927-5371(01)00043-4 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Blossfeld, H.-P. and Huinink, J. (1991). Human capital investments or norms of role transition? How women’s schooling and career affect the process of family formation. American Journal of Sociology 97(1): 143-168.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/229743 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Booth, H. (1984). Transforming Gompertz’s Function for fertility analysis: The development of a standard for the relational Gompertz Function. Population Studies 38(3): 495-506.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/2174137 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Caldwell, J.C. (1982). Theory of Fertility Decline. London: Academic Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cao, G-Y. (2000). The future population of China: Prospects to 2045 by place of residence and by level of education. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-00-026).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Casterline, J.B. (2001). The pace of fertility transition: National patterns in the second half of the twentieth century. In: Bulatao, R.A. and Casterline, J.B. (eds.). Global Fertility Transition. Supplement to Vol. 27, Population and Development Review. New York: Population Council: 17-52.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Chaudhury, R.H. (1984). The influence of female education, labour force participation and age at marriage on fertility behaviour in Bangladesh. Social Biology 31(1-2): 59-74.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cleland, J. (2001). The effects of improved survival on fertility: A reassessment. In: Bulatao, R.A. and Casterline, J.B. (eds.). Global Fertility Transition. Supplement to Vol. 27, Population and Development Review. New York: Population Council: 60-92.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cleland, J. (2002). Education and future fertility trends, with special reference to mid-transitional countries. In: Completing the Fertility Transition. Part 2. Background Papers. New York: United Nations, Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs: 187-202.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cleland, J.G. and van Ginneken, J.K. (1988). Maternal education and child survival in developing countries: The search for pathways of influence. Social Science and Medicine 27(12): 1357-1368.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/0277-9536(88)90201-8 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cochrane, S.H. (1979). Fertility and Education. What do we really know? Baltimore, Maryland: Johns Hopkins University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Collier, P. and Hoeffler, A. (2000). Greed and Grievance in Civil War. Washington, DC: The World Bank (Policy Research Paper 2355).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Corijn, M. (1996). Transition into Adulthood in Flanders. Results from the FFS. The Hague, The Netherlands: NIDI/CBGS Publications.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Doblhammer, G. (1997). Socioeconomic differentials in Austrian adult mortality: A study based on linked census and deaths records for the years 1981/1982. [Ph.D. Thesis]. Vienna, Austria: Universität Wien, Sozial- und Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Docquier, F. and Marfouk, A. (2006). International migration by education attainment, 1990-2000. In: Özden, C. and Schiff, M. (eds.). International Migration, Remittances and the Brain Drain. Washington, DC: The World Bank (chapter 5).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Duleep, H.O. (1989). Measuring socioeconomic mortality differentials over time. Demography 26(2): 345-351.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/2061531 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Elo, I.T. and Preston, S.H. (1996). Educational differentials in mortality: United States, 1979-1985. Social Science and Medicine 42(1): 47-57.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/0277-9536(95)00062-3 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
European Commission (2003). Education, training and growth. In: EU Economy 2003 Review, European Economy, No. 6. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the EU (chapter 3).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
European Commission (2004). Investment in education: The implications for economic growth and public finances. Brussels: Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, the European Commission (Economic Papers No. 217).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Eurostat (2006). Long-term Population Projections at National Level. Brussels: European Communities (Catalogue number: KS-NK-06-003-EN-N).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Feldman, J.J., Makuc, D.M., Kleinman, J.C., and Cornoni-Huntley, J. (1989). National trends in educational differentials in mortality. American Journal of Epidemiology 129(5): 919-933.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Figoli, M. (2006). Educational attainment in Brazil: An analysis of the rates between 1970 and 2000. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-06-005).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Fotso, J.-C. (2006). Malawi’s future human capital: Is the country on track to meeting the MDGs on education? Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-06-020).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goldin, C. and Katz, L.F. (2002). The power of the pill: Oral contraceptives and women’s career and marriage decisions. Journal of Political Economy 110(4): 730-770.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/340778 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goujon, A. (2002). Population and education prospects in the Arab region. In: Serageldin, I. (ed.). Human Capital: Population Economics in the Middle East. Cairo: The American University in Cairo Press: 116-140.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goujon, A., Alkitkat, H., Lutz, W., and Prommer, I. (2007). Population and human capital growth in Egypt: Projections for governorates to 2051. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-07-010).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goujon, A. and KC, S. (2006). Past and future of human capital in Southeast Asia: From 1970 to 2030. Vienna: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences (VID Working Paper 07/2006).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goujon, A. and McNay, K. (2003). Projecting the educational composition of the population of India: Selected state-level perspectives. Applied Population and Policy 1(1): 25-35.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Gustavsson, S. and Kalwij, A. (eds.) (2006). Education and Postponement of Maternity. Economic Analyses for Industrialized Countries. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers and Springer.
| Weblink | doi:10.1007/1-4020-4716-9 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Heer, D. (1983). Infant and child mortality and the demand for children. In: Bulatao, R. and Lee, R. (eds.). Determinants of fertility in Developing Countries. New York: Academic Press: 369-387.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Huisman, M., Kunst, A.E., Andersen, O., Bopp, M., Borgan, J.-K., Borrell, C., Costa, G., Deboosere, P., Desplanques, G., Donkin, A., Gadeyne, S., Minder, C., Regidor, E., Spadea, T., Valkonen, T., and Mackenbach, J.P. (2004). Socioeconomic inequalities in mortality among elderly people in 11 European populations. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 58(6): 468-475.
| Weblink | doi:10.1136/jech.2003.010496 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Huq, M.N. and Cleland, J. (1990). Bangladesh Fertility Survey 1989. Dhaka: National Institute of Population Research and Training (Main Report).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Jain, A.K. (1981). The effect of female education on fertility: A simple explanation. Demography 18(4): 577-595.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/2060948 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Jejeebhoy, S.J. (1995). Women’s Education, Autonomy and Reproductive Behaviour: Experience from Developing Countries. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Jones, E. (1982). Socio-economic Differentials in Achieved Fertility. Voorburg, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute (World Fertility Survey Comparative Studies 21).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kenkel, D.S. (1991). Health behavior, health knowledge, and schooling. The Journal of Political Economy 99(2): 287-305.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/261751 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Khalifa, A.M. (1976). The influence of wife’s education on fertility in rural Egypt. Journal of Biosocial Science 8(1): 53-60.
| Weblink | doi:10.1017/S0021932000010464 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kitagawa, E. and Hauser, P. (1973). Differential Mortality in the United States: A Study of Socioeconomic Epidemiology. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kravdal, Ø. (2002). Education and fertility in sub-Saharan Africa: Individual and community effects. Demography 39(2): 233-250.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/3088337 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kravdal, Ø. and Rindfuss, R.R. (2007). Changing relationships between education and fertility - A study of women and men born 1940-64. Oslo: University of Oslo, Economics Department (mimeo).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lantz, P.M, House, J.S., Lepkowski, J.M., Williams, D.R., Mero, R.P., and Chen, J. (1998). Socioeconomic factors, health behaviors, and mortality. Results from a nationally representative prospective study of US adults. JAMA 279(21): 1703-1708.
| Weblink | doi:10.1001/jama.279.21.1703 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lleras-Muney, A. (2005). The relationship between education and adult mortality in the United States. Review of Economic Studies 72(1): 189-221.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/0034-6527.00329 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W. (eds.) (1994). Population-Development-Environment: Understanding Their Interactions in Mauritius. Berlin: Springer Verlag.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W. and Goujon, A. (2001). The world’s changing human capital stock: Multi-state population projections by educational attainment. Population and Development Review 27(2): 323-339.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2001.00323.x |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W. and Goujon, A. (2009). Capital Humano, Género y envejecimiento en el Mediterráneo. Perspectivas a medio y largo plazo [Human capital, gender and aging in the Mediterranean]. PapersIEMed 7: 19-29 (Barcelona: Edicion Instituto Europeo del Mediterráneo, in Spanish).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Goujon, A., and Doblhammer-Reiter, G. (1999). Demographic dimensions in forecasting: Adding education to age and sex. In: Lutz, W., Vaupel, J.W., and Ahlburg, D.A. (eds.). Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Supplement to Volume 24, 1998, Population and Development Review. New York: The Population Council: 42-58.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Goujon, A., KC, S., and Sanderson, W. (2007). Reconstruction of populations by age, sex and level of educational attainment for 120 countries for 1970-2000. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2007: 193-235.
| Weblink | doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2007s193 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Goujon, A., and Wils, B. (2008). The population dynamics of human capital accumulation. In: Prskawetz, A., Bloom, D.E., and Lutz, W. (eds.). Population Aging, Human Capital Accumulation, and Productivity Growth. Supplement to Volume 34, 2008, Population and Development Review. New York: The Population Council.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Prieto, L., and Sanderson, W. (2000). Population, Development, and Environment on the Yucatán Peninsula: From Ancient Maya to 2030. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Research Report RR-00-14).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Malawi National Statistical Office (1993). Malawi Demographic and Health Survey 1992: First Report. Columbia, MD: Macro International Inc.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Marini, M.M. (1984). The order of events in the transition to adulthood. Sociology of Education 57(2): 63-84.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/2112630 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
McQuillan, K. (2004). When does religion influence fertility? Population and Development Review 30(1): 25-56.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2004.00002.x |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Niederdeppe, J. (2008). Beyond knowledge gaps: Examining socioeconomic differences in response to cancer news. Human Communication Research 34(3): 423-447.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1468-2958.2008.00327.x |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Noack, T. and Lyngstad, T.H. (2000). Norske fruktbarhetsidealer 1977-1999: Idealene består. Samfunnsspeilet 3: 30-34.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
OECD (2007). Education at a Glance. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Pamuk, E.R. (1985). Social class inequality in mortality from 1921 to 1972 in England and Wales. Population Studies 39(1): 17-31.
| Weblink | doi:10.1080/0032472031000141256 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Pappas, G., Queen, S., Hadden, W., and Fisher, G. (1993). The increasing disparity in mortality between socioeconomic groups in the United States, 1960 and 1986. New England Journal of Medicine 329(2): 103-109.
| Weblink | doi:10.1056/NEJM199307083290207 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Preston, S.H., Haines, M.R., and Pamuk, E.R. (1981). Effects of industrialization and urbanization on mortality in developed countries. In: International Union for the Scientific Study of Population. International Population Conference, Manila, 1981: Solicited Papers, Vol. 2. Liege: Ordina Editions: 233-254.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Preston, S.H. and Taubman, P. (1994). Socioeconomic differences in adult mortality and health status. In: Martin, L.G. and Preston, S.H. (eds.). Demography of Aging. Washington, DC: National Academy Press: 279-318.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Riosmena, F., Prommer, I., Goujon, A., and KC, S. (2008). An evaluation of the IIASA/VID Education-Specific Back Projections. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-08-019).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Rodgers, J.L., Kohler, H.-P., McGue, M., Behrman, J.R., Petersen, I., Bingley, P., and Christensen, K. (2008). Education and cognitive ability as direct, mediated, or spurious influences on female age at first birth: Behavioral genetic models fit to Danish twin data. American Journal of Sociology 114(S1): S202-S232.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/592205 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Rogers, A. (1975). Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Rogot, E., Sorlie, P.D., and Johnson, N.J. (1992). Life expectancy by employment status, income and education in the national longitudinal mortality study. Public Health Reports 107(4): 457-461.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Rosenzweig, M.R. and Wolpin, K.I. (2000). Natural “natural experiments” in economics. Journal of Economic Literature 38(4): 827-874.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sanderson, W.C. (2005). Education forecasts and backcasts: Lessons from the summer of 2005. (Unpublished Note).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sanderson, W.C., Fuller, B., Hellmuth, M.E., and Strzepek, K.M. (2001). Namibia’s Future. Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS. Executive Summary. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sanderson, W.C., Hellmuth, M.E., and Strzepek, K.M. (2001). Botswana’s Future. Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges in the Era of HIV/AIDS. Executive Summary. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Scherbov, S., Mamolo, M., and Lutz, W. (2008). Probabilistic population projections for the 27 EU member countries based on Eurostat Projections. Vienna: Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences (European Demographic Research Papers, No. 2).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sen, A. (1999). Development as Freedom. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Skirbekk, V. (2008). Fertility trends by social status. Demographic Research 18(5): 145-180.
| Weblink | doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.18.5 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Skirbekk, V., Kohler, H.-P., and Prskawetz, A. (2004). Birth month, school graduation and the timing of births and marriages. Demography 41(3): 547-568.
| Weblink | doi:10.1353/dem.2004.0028 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Smits, J., Ultee, W., and Lammers, J. (2000). More or less educational homogamy? A test of different versions of modernization theory using cross-temporal evidence for 60 countries. American Sociological Review 65(5): 781-788.
| Weblink | doi:10.2307/2657547 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Symeonidou, H. (2000). Expected and actual family size in Greece: 1983-1997. European Journal of Population 16(4): 335-352.
| Weblink | doi:10.1023/A:1006441411252 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Testa, M.R. and Grilli, L. (2006). The influence of childbearing regional contexts on ideal family size in Europe. Population 61(1-2): 109-138.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS) (2009). Global Education Digest 2009: Comparing Education Statistics Across the World. Montreal: UIS.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
United Nations (2005). World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision. New York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
United Nations (2007). World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision. New York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Van Peer, C. (2002). Desired and realized fertility in selected FFS-countries. In: Macura, M. and Beets, G. (eds.). Dynamics of Fertility and Partnership in Europe: Insights and Lessons from Comparative Research, Vol. 1. New York and Geneva: United Nations: 117-142.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Westoff, C.F. and Ryder, N.B. (1977). The Contraceptive Revolution. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wils, A. (1996). PDE-Cape Verde: A systems study of population, development, and environment. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Working Paper WP-96-009).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wils, A. (2007). Window on the Future: 2025 - Projections of Education Attainment and Its Impact. Washington, DC: Academy for Educational Development.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wils, A., da Costa Gaspar, M., Hellmuth, M.E., Ibraimo, M., Prommer, I., and Sebastiao, E. (2001). Mozambique’s Future. Modeling Population and Sustainable Development Challenges. Executive Summary. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Woubalem, Z. (2006). Estimates of excess adult deaths due to HIV/AIDS in Kenya. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Interim Report IR-06-013).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Yousif, H.M., Goujon, A., and Lutz, W. (1996). Future population and education trends in the countries of North Africa. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Research Report RR-96-11).
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |