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On the correspondence between CAL and lagged cohort life expectancy

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Michel Guillot
Hyun Sik Kim

 
VOLUME 24 - ARTICLE 25
PAGES 611 - 632
Date Received: 4 Nov 2010
Date Published: 21 Apr 2011

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol24/25/

doi:10.4054/DemRes.2011.24.25
   
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Abstract

It has been established that under certain mortality assumptions, the current value of the Cross-sectional Average length of Life (CAL) is equal to the life expectancy for the cohort currently reaching its life expectancy. This correspondence is important, because the life expectancy for the cohort currently reaching its life expectancy, or lagged cohort life expectancy (LCLE), has been discussed in the tempo literature as a summary mortality measure of substantive interest. In this paper, we build on previous work by evaluating the extent to which the correspondence holds in actual populations. We also discuss the implications of the CAL-LCLE correspondence (or lack thereof) for using CAL as a measure of cohort life expectancy, and for understanding the connection between CAL, LCLE, and underlying period mortality conditions.

Author's affiliation
Michel Guillot
University of Pennsylvania, United States of America
Hyun Sik Kim
University of Wisconsin-Madison, United States of America

Keywords
cohort mortality, life expectancy, mortality measures, tempo effects

Word count (Main text)
4525

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file[21-17] Estimating health expectancies from two cross-sectional surveys: The intercensal method
file[20-24] The effect of changes in fertility on the age distribution of stable populations
file[14-1] Tempo effects in mortality: An appraisal

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