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| Abstract
Total fertility rates were declining from peaks experienced by early 1930s cohorts for 20 successive cohorts. The decline ceased among the 1950s and 1960s cohorts, because fertility deficits of young women were compensated with increased fertility when women reached their late twenties and thirties. The relative stability of completed fertility of these cohorts is attributed to Nordic social policies. Fertility deficits of young women in 1970s cohorts are comparatively large. For their completed fertility to be similar to that of earlier ones, there is considerably more catching up to do.
What remains an open issue is whether social policies will be sufficiently effective for couples born in the late 1960s and the 1970s to have births not born earlier in their lives. Author's affiliation
Tomas Frejka
Independent researcher, International
Gerard Calot
l'Observtoire Demographique Europeen, France Keywords
age patterns of fertility, cohort, cohort fertility, low fertility of 1970s cohorts, Nordic countries, prospects for below-replacement fertility, Scandinavia Word count (Main text)
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