Volume 8 - Article 7 | Pages 215-244

Oldest Old Mortality in China

By Yi Zeng, Professor, James W. Vaupel

Print this page  Send this article to a friend  Twitter

 

 
Date received:14 Aug 2002
Date published:18 Apr 2003
Word count:4477
Keywords:age, China, models, mortality
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2003.8.7
 

Abstract

We find that the Kannisto model, a two-parameter logistic formula, fits Han Chinese death rates at oldest-old ages better than the Gompertz and four other models. Chinese death rates appear to be roughly similar to Swedish and Japanese rates after age 97 for both males and females.
Because reports of age seem to be serviceably reliable up to age 100 and perhaps age 105 in China, we think that this convergence may be mainly due to mortality selection in the heterogeneous Chinese population. We show that in China, as in developed countries, the rate of increase in mortality with age decelerates at very old ages.

Author's Affiliation

Yi Zeng, Professor - Duke University, United States of America [Email]
James W. Vaupel - Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany [Email]

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

» The difference between alternative averages
Volume 27 - Article 15

» Attrition in heterogeneous cohorts
Volume 23 - Article 26

» Senescence vs. sustenance: Evolutionary-demographic models of aging
Volume 23 - Article 23

» The association between resilience and survival among Chinese elderly
Volume 23 - Article 5

» Total daily change with age equals average lifetime change
Volume 22 - Article 36

» Survival as a Function of Life Expectancy
Volume 21 - Article 29

» The age separating early deaths from late deaths
Volume 20 - Article 29

» Life lived and left: Carey’s equality
Volume 20 - Article 3

» Formal Relationships: Introduction and Orientation
Volume 20 - Article 1

» The relative tail of longevity and the mean remaining lifetime
Volume 14 - Article 7

» Lifesaving, lifetimes and lifetables
Volume 13 - Article 24

» Estimating time-varying sex-age-specific o/e rates of marital status transitions in family household projection or simulation
Volume 11 - Article 10

» Sociodemographic Effects on the Onset and Recovery of ADL Disability among Chinese Oldest-old
Volume 11 - Article 1

» Association of Divorce with Socio-Demographic Covariates in China, 1955-1985: Event History Analysis Based on Data Collected in Shanghai, Hebei, and Shaanxi
Volume 7 - Article 11

» Life Expectancy at Current Rates vs. Current Conditions: A Reflexion Stimulated by Bongaarts and Feeney’s "How Long Do We Live?"
Volume 7 - Article 8

» Decomposing demographic change into direct vs. compositional components
Volume 7 - Article 1

» Dr. Väinö Kannisto: A Reflexion
Volume 6 - Article 5

» Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China
Volume 2 - Article 5

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

» Factors responsible for mortality variation in the United States: A latent variable analysis
Volume 31 - Article 2    | Keywords: mortality

» The pace of aging: Intrinsic time scales in demography
Volume 30 - Article 57    | Keywords: mortality

» Why do lifespan variability trends for the young and old diverge? A perturbation analysis
Volume 30 - Article 48    | Keywords: mortality

» Self-Reported Versus Performance-Based Measures of Physical Function: Prognostic Value for Survival
Volume 30 - Article 7    | Keywords: mortality

» Lifetime income and old age mortality risk in Italy over two decades
Volume 29 - Article 45    | Keywords: mortality

Articles

»Volume 8

 

Citations

 

Similar Articles

 

 

Jump to Article

Volume Page
Volume Article ID