© 1999 - 2008
Max-Planck-Gesellschaft

Estimating multistate transition rates from population distributions

 

Robert Schoen
Stefan H. Jonsson

 
VOLUME 9 - ARTICLE 1
 
Date Received: 11 Nov 2002
Date Published: 29 Aug 2003

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol9/1/

Bookmark this page
Send this article to a friend
   
PDF file Click the icon to view and/or download the PDF file.
Once you are in the PDF file, use your browser back button to return to this page.

Abstract
The ability to estimate transition rates (or probabilities) from population distributions has many potential applications in demography. Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) has been used for such estimation, but lacks a meaningful behavioral, or demographic, foundation. Here a new approach, Relative State Attractiveness (RSA), is advanced. It assumes that states become more (or less) attractive, and that rates respond accordingly. The RSA estimation procedure is developed and applied to model and actual data where the underlying rates are known. Results show that RSA provides accurate estimates under a wide range of conditions, usually yielding values similar to those produced by IPF. Both methods are then applied to U.S. data to provide new estimates of interregional migration between the years 1980 and 1990.

Author's affiliation
Robert Schoen
Pennsylvania State University, United States of America
Stefan H. Jonsson
Pennsylvania State University, United States of America

Keywords
entropy, estimation techniques, iterative proportional fitting, multistate models

Word count (Main text)
3819

Other Articles by the same author/authors (in Demographic Research)
file[19-49] A behaviorally-based approach to measuring inequality
file[13-5] Changing mortality and average cohort life expectancy
file[13-3] Age-specific contributions to changes in the period and cohort life expectancy
file[12-3] Intrinsically dynamic population models
file[9-6] A diminishing population whose every cohort more than replaces itself
file[6-3] On the Impact of Spatial Momentum
file[4-6] Toward a General Model for Populations with Changing Rates

Similar Articles (in Demographic Research)
file [19-49] A behaviorally-based approach to measuring inequality (entropy)
file [10-6] Fertility and Public Policies - Evidence from Norway and Finland (multistate models)
file [10-2] Marriage in Russia: a reconstruction (multistate models)
file [6-1] The Survivor Ratio Method for Estimating Numbers at High Ages (estimation techniques)

[ Back to previous page ]