TY  - JOUR
A1  - Johnson, Leigh
A1  - Dorrington, Rob
A1  - Bradshaw, Debbie
A1  - Pillay-Van Wyk, Victoria
A1  - Rehle, Thomas
T1  - Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: insights from a mathematical model
Y1  - 2009/09/10
JF  - Demographic Research
JO  - Demographic Research
SN  - 1435-9871
SP  - 289
EP  - 340
DO  - 10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.11
VL  - 21
IS  - 11
UR  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/11/
L1  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/11/21-11.pdf
L2  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/11/21-11.pdf
L3  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/11/files/21-11%20Appendices.pdf
L3  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol21/11/files/21-11%20SupplementaryData.xls
N2  - This paper aims to quantify the effects of different types of sexual risk behaviour on the spread of HIV in South Africa. A mathematical model is developed to simulate changes in numbers of sexual partners, changes in marital status, changes in commercial sex activity and changes in the frequency of unprotected sex over the life course. This is extended to allow for the transmission of HIV, and the model is fitted to South African HIV prevalence data and sexual behaviour data. Results suggest that concurrent partnerships and other non-spousal partnerships are major drivers of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa.

ER  -