TY  - JOUR
A1  - Wilson, Chris
T1  - Thinking about post-transitional demographic regimes: A reflection
Y1  - 2013/06/27
JF  - Demographic Research
JO  - Demographic Research
SN  - 1435-9871
SP  - 1373
EP  - 1388
DO  - 10.4054/DemRes.2013.28.46
VL  - 28
IS  - 46
UR  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol28/46/
L1  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol28/46/28-46.pdf
L2  - https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol28/46/28-46.pdf
N2  - Background: For the last 70 years the concept of the demographic transition has provided a basis for understanding and predicting population trends in the developing world. However, a majority of the developing world’s population will soon be post-transitional - what will happen then? This paper attempts to outline where answers to this question might be found. It suggests that a valuable way to organise the study of these issues is the concept of the demographic regime. 

Objective: The aim of the paper is to encourage discussion on the nature of post-transitional demographic regimes around the world, especially in the developing world. The style of the reflection is that of a speculative essay - a Denkstűck or ballon d’essai. 

Methods: In addition to a discussion of the concept of a demographic regime, the paper looks at three possible sources of information on the determinants of post-transitional regimes in the developing world: 1) the nature of the transition itself, 2) lessons drawn from pre-transitional regimes, and 3) demographic trends in Europe and other developed countries, some which have been post-transitional for several decades. 

Conclusions: The paper concludes with a set of suggestions for future research on the topic. 

ER  -