TY - JOUR A1 - Alkema, L. A1 - Raftery, A.E. A1 - Clark, S.J. T1 - Probabilistic projections of HIV prevalence using Bayesian melding Y1 - 2007 DO - 10.1214/07-AOAS111 JF - The Annals of Applied Statistics VL - 1 IS - 1 SP - 229 EP - -248 ER -