@article{Lee1974,
author = {Lee, R.D.},
title= {Forecasting births in post-transition populations: Stochastic renewal with serially correlated fertility},
year = {1974},
doi = {10.1080/01621459.1974.10480177},
journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
volume = {69},
number = {347},
pages = {607--617},
}