@article{Alkema2007,
author = {Alkema, L. and Raftery, A.E. and Clark, S.J.},
title= {Probabilistic Projections of HIV prevalence using Bayesian Melding},
year = {2007},
doi = {10.1214/07-AOAS111},
journal = {Annals of Applied Statistics},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {229--248},
}