@article{Alkema2012,
author = {Alkema, L. and Raftery, A. E. and Gerland, P. and Clark, S. J. and Pelletier, F.},
title= {Estimating trends in the total fertility rate with uncertainty using imperfect data: Examples from West Africa},
year = {2012},
doi = {10.4054/DemRes.2012.26.15},
journal = {Demographic Research},
volume = {26},
number = {15},
pages = {331--362},
}