@article{McCulloch1993, author = {McCulloch, R.E. and Tsay, R. S.}, title= {Bayesian Inference and Prediction for Mean and Variance Shifts in Autoregressive Time Series}, year = {1993}, doi = {10.1080/01621459.1993.10476364}, journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association}, volume = {88}, number = {423}, pages = {968--978}, }