TY - JOUR A1 - Tuljapurkar, S. T1 - Validation, probability-weighted priors, and information in stochastic forecasts Y1 - 1999 DO - 10.1016/S0169-2070(98)00082-X JF - International Journal of Forecasting VL - 15 IS - 3 SP - 259 EP - -271 ER -