TY - JOUR A1 - Wiśniowski, A. A1 - Smith, P.W.F. A1 - Bijak, J. A1 - Raymer, J. A1 - Forster, J.J. T1 - Bayesian population forecasting: extending the Lee‒Carter method Y1 - 2015 DO - 10.1007/s13524-015-0389-y JF - Demography VL - 52 IS - 3 ER -