Volume 31 - Article 23 | Pages 687–734  

Certainty of meeting fertility intentions declines in Europe during the 'Great Recession'

By Maria Rita Testa, Stuart Gietel-Basten

References

Adsera, Alicia (2005). Vanishing Children: From High Unemployment to Low Fertility in Developed Countries. American Economic Review 95(2): 189-193.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Adsera, Alicia (2005). Where Are the Babies? Labor Market Conditions and Fertility in Europe. Bonn: Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA discusion paper: IZA–DP–1576).

Download reference:

Adsera, Alicia (2011). Where Are the Babies? Labor Market Conditions and Fertility in Europe. European Journal of Population 27(1): 1-32.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Adserà, Alícia (2004). Changing fertility rates in developed countries. The impact of labor market institutions. Journal of Population Economics 17(1): 17-43.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Agresti, Alan (2003). Categorical data analysis: Second edition. New York: Wiley.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Ajzen, Icek and Klobas, Jane (2013). Fertility intentions: An approach based on the theory of planned behavior. Demographic Research 29(8): 203-232.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Beck, U. (1992). Risk Society: Towards a New Modernity. London: Sage.

Download reference:

Becker, G.S. (1991). A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

Download reference:

Becker, G.S. (1960). An economic analysis of fertility. In: National Bureau of Economic Research (ed.). Demographic and Economic Change in Developed Countries. Princeton: Princeton University Press: 209-231.

Download reference:

Bernardi, L., Cavalli, L., and Mynarska, M. (2010). A child?... maybe: Uncertain fertility intentions and subsequent behavior. Paper presented at the From Intentions to Behaviour: Reproductive Decision–Making in a Macro–Micro Perspective Conference, Austria, Vienna, December 2–3 2010.

Download reference:

Bernardi, Laura, Klärner, Andreas, and von der Lippe, Holger (2008). Job Insecurity and the Timing of Parenthood: A Comparison between Eastern and Western Germany. European Journal of Population 24(3): 287-313.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Bhaumik, S.K. and Nugent, J.B. (2006). Does economic uncertainty affect the decision to bear children? Evidence from East and West Germany. London: Centre for Economic Development and Institutions(CEDI), Brunel University (CEDI Discussion Papers; 06–06).

Download reference:

Billari, Francesco and Kohler, Hans-Peter (2004). Patterns of low and lowest-low fertility in Europe. Population Studies 58(2): 161-176.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Bongaarts, J. (2001). Fertility and reproductive preferences in post-transitional societies. Population and Development Review 27: 260-281.

Download reference:

Brant, Rollin (1990). Assessing Proportionality in the Proportional Odds Model for Ordinal Logistic Regression. Biometrics 46(4): 1171-1178.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Breen, Richard (1997). Risk, Recommodification and Stratification. Sociology 31(3): 473-489.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Brewster, Karin L. and Rindfuss, Ronald R. (2000). Fertility and Women's Employment in Industrialized Nations. Annual Review of Sociology 26(1): 271-296.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Butz, William P. and Ward, Michael P. (1979). The Emergence of Countercyclical U.S. Fertility. The American Economic Review 69(3): 318-328.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Butz, William P. and Ward, Michael P. (1979). Will US Fertility Remain Low? A New Economic Interpretation. Population and Development Review 5(4): 663-688.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Dommermuth, Lars, Klobas, Jane, and Lappegård, Trude (2011). Now or later? The Theory of Planned Behavior and timing of fertility intentions. Advances in Life Course Research 16(1): 42-53.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Dooley, D., Fielding, J., and Levi, L. (1996). Health and Unemployment. Annual Review of Public Health 17(1): 449-465.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Durkheim, É. (1893). The division of labor in society [Edited version published in 2002]. New York: Free Press.

Download reference:

Easterlin, R.A. (1980). Births and fortune: The impact of numbers on personal welfare. New York: Basic Books.

Download reference:

Emmenegger, Patrick, Hausermann, Silja, Palier, Bruno, and Seeleib-Kaiser, Martin (2012). How rich countries cope with deindustrialization. In: Emmenegger, Patrick, Hausermann, Silja, Palier, Bruno, and Seeleib-Kaiser, Martin (eds.). The Age of Dualization:The changing face of inequality in deindustrializing societies. Oxford : Oxford University Press: 304-320.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Emmenegger, Patrick, Hausermann, Silja, Palier, Bruno, and Seeleib-Kaiser, Martin (2012). How we Grow Unequal. In: Emmenegger, Patrick, Hausermann, Silja, Palier, Bruno, and Seeleib-Kaiser, Martin (eds.). The Age of Dualization:The changing face of inequality in deindustrializing societies. Oxford : Oxford University Press: 3-26.

Weblink:
Download reference:

EUROSTAT (2013). Statistical database (Population). Luxembourg: European Commission.

Download reference:

Fenwick, Rudy and Tausig, Mark (1994). The Macroeconomic Context of Job Stress. Journal of Health and Social Behavior 35(3): 266-282.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Fokkema, Tineke, de Valk, A. G. Helga, De Beer, Joop, and van Duin, Coen (2008). The Netherlands: Childbearing within the context of a "Poldermodel" society. Demographic Research 19(21): 743-794.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Friedman, Debra, Hechter, Michael, and Kanazawa, Satoshi (1994). A theory of the value of children. Demography 31(3): 375-401.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Goldstein, Joshua, Lutz, Wolfgang, and Testa, MariaRita (2003). The emergence of Sub-Replacement Family Size Ideals in Europe. Population Research and Policy Review 22(5): 479-496.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Hall, D. (2002). Risk society and the Second Demographic Transition. Canadian Studies in Population 29(2): 173-193.

Download reference:

Hashimoto, Yuki and Kondo, Ayako (2012). Long-term effects of labor market conditions on family formation for Japanese youth. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 26(1): 1-22.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Hin, S., Gauthier, A., Goldstein, J., and Bühler, C. (2011). Fertility preferences: what measuring second choices teaches us. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 9: 131-156.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Kohler, Hans-Peter, Billari, Francesco C., and Ortega, José Antonio (2002). The Emergence of Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe During the 1990s. Population and Development Review 28(4): 641-680.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Kravdal, Øystein (1999). Does marriage require a stronger economic underpinning than informal cohabitation? Population Studies 53(1): 63-80.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Kravdal, Øystein (2002). The impact of individual and aggregate unemployment on fertility in Norway. Demographic Research 6(10): 263-294.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Kreyenfeld, Michaela (2010). Uncertainties in Female Employment Careers and the Postponement of Parenthood in Germany. European Sociological Review 26(3): 351-366.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Lupton, D. (1999). Risk. London: Routledge.

Download reference:

Macunovich, Diane J. (1996). Relative Income and Price of Time: Exploring Their Effects on US Fertility and Female Labor Force Participation. Population and Development Review 22: 223-257.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Macunovich, Diane J. (1995). The Butz-Ward Fertility Model in the Light of More Recent Data. The Journal of Human Resources 30(2): 229-255.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Meron, M. and Widmer, I. (2002). Unemployment leads women to postpone the birth of their first child. Population (English Edition) 57(2): 301-330.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Mills, M. and Blossfeld, H.–P. (2005). Globalization, Uncertainty and the Early Life Course: A Theoretical Framework. In: Blossfeld, H.P., Klijzing, E., Mills, M., and Kurz, K. (eds.). Globalization, Uncertainty and Youth in Society. London: Routledge: 1-24.

Download reference:

Morgan, S. Philip (1981). Intention and uncertainty at later stages of childbearing: the united states 1965 and 1970. Demography 18(3): 267-285.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Morgan, S. Philip (1982). Parity-specific fertility intentions and uncertainty: the United States, 1970 to 1976. Demography 19(3): 315-334.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Morgan, S.P. (2001). Should fertility intentions inform fertility forecasts?. In: Conference, U.S. Census Bureau. (ed.). The Direction of Fertility in the United States:. Washington D.C.: US Census Bureau: 153-184.

Download reference:

Myrskylä, M., Goldstein, J.R., and Cheng, Y.A. (2012). New cohort fertility forecast for the developed world. Rostock: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR working paper, WP–2012–014).

Download reference:

Namboodiri, Krishnan (1972). Some observations on the economic framework for fertility analysis. Population Studies 26(2): 185-206.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Neels, K. (2010). Temporal variation in unemployment rates and their association with tempo and quantum of fertility: some evidence for Belgium, France and the Netherlands. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, TX, April 17 2010.

Download reference:

NIDI: The Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (2010). MicMac: Bridging the micro–macro gap in population forecasting [electronic resource]. The Hague: the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Örsal, D.D.K. and Goldstein, J. (2010). The increasing importance of economic conditions on fertility. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, TX, April 17 2010.

Download reference:

Pailhé, A. (2009). Work–family balance and childbearing intentions in France, Germany and Russia. Paper presented at the XXVI IUSSP International Population Conference, Marrakech, Morocco, September 27 2009.

Download reference:

Perelli-Harris, Brienna (2006). The Influence of Informal Work and Subjective Well-Being on Childbearing in Post-Soviet Russia. Population and Development Review 32(4): 729-753.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Philipov, D. (2002). Fertility in times of discontinuous societal change: The case of central and eastern Europe. Rostock: Max Planck Institute of Demographic Research (MPIDR working paper; WP–2002–024).

Download reference:

Philipov, Dimiter, Spéder, Zsolt, and Billari, Francesco C. (2006). Soon, later, or ever? The impact of anomie and social capital on fertility intentions in Bulgaria (2002) and Hungary (2001). Population Studies 60(3): 289-308.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Quesnel-Vallée, Amélie and Morgan, S. Philip (2003). Missing the Target? Correspondence of Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the U.S. Population Research and Policy Review 22(5-6): 497-525.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Ranjan, Priya (1999). Fertility Behaviour under Income Uncertainty. European Journal of Population 15(1): 25-43.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Rindfuss, R.R., Morgan, S.P., and Swicegood, G. (1988). First Births in America: Changes in the Timing of Parenthood. Berkeley: University of California Press.

Download reference:

Rindfuss, Ronald R. and van den Heuvel, Audrey (1990). Cohabitation: A Precursor to Marriage or an Alternative to Being Single? Population and Development Review 16(4): 703-726.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Schneiderman, Neil, Ironson, Gail, and Siegel, Scott D. (2004). Stress and Health: Psychological, Behavioral, and Biological Determinants. Annual Review of Clinical Psychology 1(1): 607-628.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Schoen, Robert, Astone, Nan Marie, Kim, Young J., Nathanson, Constance A., and Jason, M. Fields (1999). Do Fertility Intentions Affect Fertility Behavior? Journal of Marriage and Family 61(3): 790-799.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Snijders, T.A.B. and Bosker, R.J. (1999). Multilevel analysis. An introduction to basic and advanced multilevel modeling. London: Sage Publications.

Download reference:

Sobotka, T., Skirbekk, V. , and Philipov, D. (2010). Economic recession and fertility in the developed world. A literature review. Vienna: Vienna Institute of Demography.

Download reference:

Sobotka, Tomáš (2004). Is Lowest-Low Fertility in Europe Explained by the Postponement of Childbearing? Population and Development Review 30(2): 195-220.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Sobotka, Tomáš, Skirbekk, Vegard, and Philipov, Dimiter (2011). Economic Recession and Fertility in the Developed World. Population and Development Review 37(2): 267-306.

Weblink:
Download reference:

The Economist (2012). Yes, there is austerity [electronic resource]. London: The Economist Group.

Westoff, C.F and Ryder, N.B (1977). The Predictive Validity Of Reproductive Intentions. Demography 14(4): 431-453.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Yamaguchi, Kazuo and Ferguson, Linda R. (1995). The Stopping and Spacing of Childbirths and Their Birth-History Predictors: Rational-Choice Theory and Event-History Analysis. American Sociological Review 60(2): 272-298.

Weblink:
Download reference:

Back to the article