Volume 26 - Article 15 | Pages 331-362

Estimating Trends in the Total Fertility Rate with Uncertainty Using Imperfect Data: Examples from West Africa

By Leontine Alkema, Adrian Raftery, Patrick Gerland, Samuel J. Clark, Francois Pelletier

Print this page  

 

References

Alkema, L. (2008). Uncertainty assessments of demographic estimates and projections. [PhD Thesis]. University of Washington.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Becker, S. and Mahmud, S. (1984). A validation study of backward and forward pregnancy histories in Matlab, Bangladesh. International Statistical Institute (World Fertility Survey Scientific Reports, 52).

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Berrocal, V., Raftery, A.E., and Gneiting, T. (2007). Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts. Monthly Weather Review 135(4): 1386-1402.

Weblink doi:10.1175/MWR3341.1
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Bollen, K. (1989). Structural Equations with Latent Variables. New York: John Wiley & Sons.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Bongaarts, J. and Potter, R.E. (1983). Fertility, Biology, and Behavior: An Analysis of the Proximate Determinants. Academic Press.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Brass, W. (1964). Uses of census or survey data for the estimation of vital rates. Paper presented at the African Seminar on Vital Statistics.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Brass, W. (1996). Demographic data analysis in less developed countries: 1946-1996. Population Studies 50(3): 451-467.

Weblink doi:10.1080/0032472031000149566
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Brass, W., Coale, A.J., Demeny, P., and Heisel, D.F. (1968). The Demography of Tropical Africa. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Cleveland, W.S. and Devlin, S.J. (1988). Locally weighted regression: An approach to regression analysis by local fitting. Journal of the American Statistical Association 83(403): 596-610.

Weblink doi:10.2307/2289282
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Cleveland, W.S., Grosse, E., and Shyu, W.M. (1991). Local regression models. In: Chambers, J.M. and Hastie, T. (eds.). Statistical Models in S. New York: Chapman & Hall (Chapter 8).

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: Another look at the jackknife. Annals of Statistics 7(1): 1-26.

Weblink doi:10.1214/aos/1176344552
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Ewbank, D.C. (1981). Age misreporting and age-selective underenumeration: Sources, patterns, and consequences for demographic analysis. National Academy Press.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Feeney, G. (1998). A new interpretation of Brass' P/F Ratio method applicable when fertility is declining.

Weblink http://www.gfeeney.com/notes/pfnote/pfnote.htm
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Hill, K., Pande, R., Mahy, M., and Jones, G. (1998). Trends in child mortality in the developing world: 1960 to 1996. New York: UNICEF.

Weblink http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Johnson, K., Grant, M., Khan, S., Moore, Z., Armstrong, A., and Sa, Z. (2009). Fieldwork-related factors and data quality in the demographic and health surveys program. Calverton, Maryland, USA: ICF Macro (DHS Analytical Studies No. 19 ).

Weblink http://www.measuredhs.com/pubs/pdf/AS19/AS19.pdf
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Loader, C. (1999). Local Regression and Likelihood. New York: Springer.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Machiyama, K. (2010). A re-examination of recent fertility declines in sub-Saharan Africa. (DHS Working Papers 68).

Weblink http://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf\_docs/PNADT374.pdf
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

MacKinnon, J.G. and White, H. (1985). Some heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimators with improved finite sample properties. Journal of Econometrics 29(3): 305-325.

Weblink doi:10.1016/0304-4076(85)90158-7
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Moultrie, T.A. and Dorrington, R. (2008). Sources of error and bias in methods of fertility estimation contingent on the P/F Ratio in a time of declining fertility and rising mortality. Demographic Research 19(46): 1635-1662.

Weblink doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.46
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Newton, M.A. and Raftery, A.E. (1994). Approximate Bayesian inference with the weighted likelihood bootstrap (with discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 56(1): 3-48.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Potter, J.E. (1977). Problems in using birth-history analysis to estimate trends in fertility. Population Studies 31(2): 335-364.

Weblink doi:10.2307/2173921
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Pullum, T.W. (2006). An assessment of age and date in the DHS surveys, 1985 - 2003. (DHS Methodological Reports 5).

Weblink http://www.measuredhs.com/\pubs/pub\_details. ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Pullum, T.W. and Stokes, S.L. (1997). Identifying and adjusting for recall error, with application to fertility surveys. In: Lyberg, L. and Biemer, P. (eds.). Survey Measurement and Process Quality. New York: John Wiley and Sons: 711-732.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Raftery, A.E. (1995). Bayesian model selection in social research (with discussion). Sociological Methodology 25(4): 111-163.

Weblink doi:10.2307/271063
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Raftery, A.E., Painter, I., and Volinsky, C.T. (2005). BMA: An R package for Bayesian Model Averaging. R News 5(2): 2-8.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Rajaratnam, J.K., Marcus, J.R., Flaxman, A.D., Wang, H., Levin-Rector, A., Dwyer, L., Costa, M., Lopez, A.D., and Murray, C.J.L. (2010). Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970-2010: A systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4. The Lancet 375(9730): 1988-2008.

Weblink doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(10)60703-9
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Schoumaker, B. (2010). Reconstructing fertility trends in sub-Saharan Africa by combining multiple surveys affected by data quality problems. In: Proceedings of the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America. Dallas, USA.

Weblink http://paa2010.princeton.edu/abstractViewer.a ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Schoumaker, B. (2011). Omissions of births in DHS birth histories in sub-Saharan Africa: Measurement and determinants. In: Proceedings of the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America. Washington D.C., USA.

Weblink http://paa2011.princeton.edu/download.aspx?su ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Som, R.K. (1973). Recall Lapse in Demographic Enquiries. New York: Asia Publishing House.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Trussell, T.J. (1975). A re-estimation of the multiplying factors for the Brass technique for determining children survivorship rates. Population Studies 29: 97-108.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

UNICEF, the World Health Organization (WHO), World Bank, and United Nations Population Division (UNPD) (2007). Levels and trends of child mortality in 2006 estimates developed by the interagency group for child mortality estimation. (Working paper).

Weblink http://www.childinfo.org/files/infant\_child\ ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

United Nations (1982). National household survey capability programme. Non-sampling errors of household surveys: Sources, assessment and control. New York: United Nations Department of Technical Cooperation for Development and Statistical Office.

Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

United Nations (1983). Manual X, indirect techniques for demographic estimation. New York: United Nations (Chapter 2).

Weblink http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, (2007). World Population Prospects. The 2006 Revision, Vol. I, Comprehensive Tables. (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.07.XIII.2).

Weblink http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications ...
Download reference in RIS | BibTeX

Articles

»Volume 26

 

Jump to Article

Volume Page
Volume Article ID