The supplemental .zip archive for this publication contains the following files: 1) Files to replicate the estimation of incidence rates from prevalence rates *** estimation files in R Mort_ADLinc_est.r : estimation of disability-specific mortality and disability-incidence Mort_ADLinc_BMI.r : estimation including obesity (BMI>=30) Mort_ADLinc_BMI_fun.r : r-functions for estimation including obesity ** mortality rates from Eurostat 2008-2060 Mort_NL_F.csv Mort_NL_M.csv **** Prevalence rates * ADL-only Prev_ADL_NL_F.csv Prev_ADL_NL_M.csv * ADL & BMI Prev_ADLxBMI_NL_F.csv Prev_ADLxBMI_NL_M.csv *** Estimation results * ADL-only Mort_ADL_NL_M.txt Disinc_ADL_NL_M.txt Mort_ADL_NL_F.txt Disinc_ADL_NL_F.txt * ADL & BMI Mort_BMI_NL_M.txt Disinc_BMI_NL_M.txt Mort_BMI_NL_F.txt Disinc_BMI_NL_F.txt 2) Files to run projections in LIPRO *** Input for LIPRO to run projections Input_LIPRO_NL_BMIxADL.xls : initial population and rates for projection years 2008-2040 for the BMI-scenario LIPRO_BMIxADL_NL : LIPRO definition file *** LIPRO projection output files; you can load these files in LIPRO to produce output tables Pop_BMI_NL.bin : binary file containing population Rates_BMI_NL.bin : binary file containing rates PY_BMI_NL.bin : binary file containing population years Events_BMI_NL.bin : binary file containing events LIPRO 4.0 for windows is available from http://www.nidi.knaw.nl/en/research/al/270101