The supplemental .zip archive contains code and data for reproducing 
probabilistic projections of subnational total fertility rates using the Scale-AR(1) 
method as described in: 
Probabilistic Projection of Subnational Total Fertility Rates
by Hana Sevcikova, Adrian E. Raftery and Patrick Gerland
published in Demographic Research

Archive created on 2018/05/28.

It contains the following files:

subnatTFR.R: 
    - R code for reproducing probabilistic subnational TFR projections for all countries 
      using the scale-AR1 method. See comments in the file for more details.

TFRSubnational2012.csv:
    - Dataset with subnational TFR used for estimation.

The R code requires the package bayesTFR (currently v. 6.1.2).