Volume 4 - Article 9 | Pages 289-336
Application of the Demographic Potential Concept to Understanding the Russian Population History and Prospects: 1897-2100
| Date received: | 25 Dec 2000 |
| Date published: | 14 Jun 2001 |
| Word count: | 10037 |
| Keywords: | demographic losses of Russia, method of demographic potentials, population projections, Russia, Russian population perspectives, Russian population trends |
| DOI: | 10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.9 |
| Additional files: | Aggregate population projection model |
Abstract
The article deals with Russian population estimates since 1897 and prospects to the end of the XXI century. Concept of demographic potential is used to examine past trends and project future tendencies. Dramatic disturbances of the past century hampered population growth and brought the possibility of halving the Russian population, the possibility, which could turn into inevitably if demographic problems are not solved before the mid-XXI. At the same time the Russian population still has a momentum of quick growth under the condition of fast recovery of vital rates.
Author's Affiliation
Dalkhat Ediev - Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria
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