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Application of the Demographic Potential Concept to Understanding the Russian Population History and Prospects
1897-2100

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Dalkhat Ediev

 
VOLUME 4 - ARTICLE 9
PAGES 289 - 336
Date Received: 25 Dec 2000
Date Published: 14 Jun 2001

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol4/9/

doi:10.4054/DemRes.2001.4.9
   
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file Aggregate population projection model

Abstract

The article deals with Russian population estimates since 1897 and prospects to the end of the XXI century. Concept of demographic potential is used to examine past trends and project future tendencies. Dramatic disturbances of the past century hampered population growth and brought the possibility of halving the Russian population, the possibility, which could turn into inevitably if demographic problems are not solved before the mid-XXI. At the same time the Russian population still has a momentum of quick growth under the condition of fast recovery of vital rates.

Author's affiliation
Dalkhat Ediev
Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Austria

Keywords
demographic losses of Russia, method of demographic potentials, population projections, Russia, Russian population perspectives, Russian population trends

Word count (Main text)
10037

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