Roger Thatcher
Väinö Kannisto
Kirill F. Andreev

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol6/1/

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Abstract
Only a few countries have official population statistics which are sufficiently accurate to produce reliable estimates of death rates at high ages. For other countries, there are several methods which can be used to produce improved estimates. The choice is important for research on old age mortality. In 1999 the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research undertook a research project to compare the performance of the three leading methods, using data for nine countries over 35 years. This paper describes the research and the results, which were unexpectedly simple. It also gives an authoritative account of the most successful method.

Author's affiliation
Roger Thatcher
Independent researcher, International
Väinö Kannisto
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany
Kirill F. Andreev
United Nations, United States of America

Keywords
estimation techniques, high ages, population estimates, survivor ratio

Word count (Main text)
4843

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	[11-9] A Method for Estimating Size of Population Aged 90 and over with Application to the U.S. Census 2000 Data
	[3-12] Sex differentials in survival in the Canadian population, 1921-1997
	[3-6] Measuring the compression of mortality
	[1-1] Finnish Life Tables since 1751

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