Volume 7 - Article 6 | Pages 307-342

Childbirth in East and West German Stepfamilies: Estimated probabilities from hazard rate models

By Ursula Henz

Print this page  Send this article to a friend  Twitter

 

 
Date received:19 Jan 2002
Date published:08 Aug 2002
Word count:5303
Keywords:fertility, hazard rate model, proportionality assumption, stepfamily
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2002.7.6
 

Abstract

The present paper studies fertility rates in partnerships with and without children from previous partners in East and West Germany. Data from the German "Fertility and Family Survey" is used to estimate piecewise-linear hazard rate models for having another child.
It turns out that a proportional-hazard model would give incorrect results because childbirth follows different time patterns for couples who have already a shared child and couples who do not. Therefore, a model with specific clocks for various experiences of parenthood is specified. Based on these model estimations the probability for having another child within a certain time is calculated. In West Germany the estimated likelihood of having another child within six years varies little by child composition.
In contrast, East-German couples with no shared child have a higher likelihood than couples with a shared child to have a child within six years.

Author's Affiliation

Ursula Henz - London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom [Email]

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

» Long-term trends of men’s co-residence with children in England and Wales
Volume 30 - Article 23

» Gender roles and values of children: Childless Couples in East and West Germany
Volume 19 - Article 39

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

» The institutionalization and pace of fertility in American stepfamilies
Volume 14 - Article 12    | Keywords: fertility, stepfamily

» Fertility in second unions in Austria: Findings from the Austrian FFS
Volume 3 - Article 2    | Keywords: fertility, stepfamily

» Step-families and Childbearing Desires in Europe
Special Collection 3 - Article 5    | Keywords: fertility, stepfamily

» The declining effect of sibling size on children's education in Costa Rica
Volume 31 - Article 48    | Keywords: fertility

» The educational gradient of childlessness and cohort parity progression in 14 low fertility countries
Volume 31 - Article 46    | Keywords: fertility

Articles

»Volume 7

 

Citations

 

Similar Articles

 

 

Jump to Article

Volume Page
Volume Article ID