|
http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol7/6/
 Bookmark this page
Send this article to a friend
| |
|
| Click the icon to view and/or download the PDF file.
Once you are in the PDF file, use your browser back button to return to this page.
| Abstract
The present paper studies fertility rates in partnerships with and without children from previous partners in East and West Germany. Data from the German "Fertility and Family Survey" is used to estimate piecewise-linear hazard rate models for having another child.
It turns out that a proportional-hazard model would give incorrect results because childbirth follows different time patterns for couples who have already a shared child and couples who do not. Therefore, a model with specific clocks for various experiences of parenthood is specified. Based on these model estimations the probability for having another child within a certain time is calculated. In West Germany the estimated likelihood of having another child within six years varies little by child composition.
In contrast, East-German couples with no shared child have a higher likelihood than couples with a shared child to have a child within six years. Author's affiliation
Ursula Henz
London School of Economics, United Kingdom Keywords
fertility, hazard rate model, proportionality assumption, stepfamily Word count (Main text)
5303 Other Articles by the same author/authors (in Demographic Research)
Similar Articles (in Demographic Research)
|
