@article{Schoen_S8_25, author = {Schoen, Robert}, title={{The metastable birth trajectory}}, journal = {Demographic Research}, volume = {S8}, number = {25}, pages = {759--764}, doi = {10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.25}, year = {2009}, abstract = {The metastable model generalizes the stable population model by allowing net maternity to change exponentially over age and time. As a result, the metastable model generates an exponentially quadratic birth trajectory, which is characterized by a constant proportion of births by age of mother. The metastable model is well suited to analyzing steady fertility declines and transitions between two regimes of fixed vital rates.}, URL = {https://www.demographic-research.org/special/8/25/}, eprint = {https://www.demographic-research.org/special/8/25/s8-25.pdf} }