@article{Raftery2010,
author = {Raftery, A.E. and Bao, L.},
title= {Estimating and projecting trends in HIV/AIDS generalized epidemics using incremental mixture importance sampling},
year = {2010},
doi = {10.1111/j.1541-0420.2010.01399.x},
journal = {Biometrics},
volume = {66},
number = {4},
pages = {1162--1173},
}