@article{Alkema2011,
author = {Alkema, L. and Raftery, A.E. and Gerland, P. and Clark, S.J. and Pelletier, F. and Buettner, T. and Heilig, G.K.},
title= {Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries},
year = {2011},
doi = {10.1007/s13524-011-0040-5},
journal = {Demography},
volume = {48},
number = {3},
pages = {815--839},
}