@article{Kermack1934,
author = {Kermack, W.O. and McKendrick, A.G. and McKinlay, P.L.},
title= {Death rates in Great Britain and Sweden: Some general regularities and their significance},
year = {1934},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(00)92530-3},
journal = {Lancet},
volume = {226},
pages = {698--703},
}