@article{Myrskylä2013,
author = {Myrskylä, M.  and Goldstein, J.R. },
title= {Probabilistic forecasting using stochastic diffusion models, with applications to cohort processes of marriage and fertility},
year = {2013},
doi = {10.1007/s13524-012-0154-4},
journal = {Demography },
volume = {50},
number = {1},
pages = {237--260},
}