@article{Murray1997,
author = {Murray, C.J.L.  and Lopez, A.D. },
title= {Alternative projections of mortality and disability by cause 1990–2020: Global Burden of Disease Study},
year = {1997},
doi = {10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07492-2},
volume = {349},
number = {9064},
pages = {1498--1504},
}