@article{Schmertmann2014,
author = {Schmertmann, Carl and Zagheni, Emilio and Goldstein, Joshua R. and Myrskylä, Mikko},
title= {Bayesian forecasting of cohort fertility},
year = {2014},
doi = {10.1080/01621459.2014.881738},
volume = {109},
pages = {500--513},
}