@article{Schmertmann2014,
author = {Schmertmann, C.P. and Zagheni, E. and Goldstein, J.R. and Myrskyla, M.},
title= {Bayesian forecasting of cohort fertility},
year = {2014},
doi = {10.1080/01621459.2014.881738},
volume = {109},
number = {506},
pages = {500--513},
}