Volume 22 - Article 10 | Pages 211–236
Modeling fertility curves in Africa
By Ezra Gayawan, Samson B. Adebayo, Reuben A. Ipinyomi, Benjamin Oyejola
References
Akaike, H. (1974). A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 19(6): 716-723.
Akaike, H. (1977). Canonical correlation analysis of time series and the use of the information criterion. In: Mehra, R.K. and Laintiotis, D.G. (eds.). System Identification: Advances and Case studies. New York: Academic Press: 27-96.
Brass, W. (1974). Perspectives in population prediction: Illustrated by the Statistics of England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 137(4): 532-583.
Brass, W. (1979). Population projections for planning and policy. Honolulu, Hawaii: East West Population Institute (Papers of the East West Population Institute, No 55).
Brass, W. (1960). The graduation of fertility distributions by polynomial functions. Population Studies 14(2): 148-162.
Caldwell, J.C. (1980). Mass education as a determinant of the timing of fertility decline. Population and Development Review 6(2): 225-255.
Caldwell, J.C., Orubuloye, I.O., and Caldwell, P. (1992). Fertility decline in Africa: A new type of transition? Population and Development Review 18(2): 211-242.
Chandola, T., Coleman, D.A., and Hiorns, R.W. (1999). Recent European fertility patterns: Fitting curves to 'distorted' distributions. Population Studies 53(3): 317-329.
Coale, A.J. and Trussell, T.J. (1974). Model fertility schedules: Variations in the age structure of childbearing in human populations. Population Index 40(2): 185-258.
Coale, A.J. and Trussell, T.J. (1978). Technical note: Finding the two parameters that specify a model schedule of marital fertility. Population Index 44(2): 203-213.
Demographic and Health Survey (2008). ORC Macro website [electronic resource].
Farid, S.M. (1973). On the pattern of cohort fertility. Population Studies 27(1): 159-168.
Gilje, E. (1969). Fitting curves to age-specific fertility rates: Some examples. Statistical Review of the Swedish National Central Bureau of Statistics III 7: 118-134.
Gilks, W.R. (1986). The relationship between birth history and current fertility in developing countries. Population Studies 40(3): 437 - 455.
Hadwiger, H. (1940). Eine analytische Reprodutionsfunktion für biologische Gesamtheiten. Skandinavisk Aktuarietidskrift 23: 101-113.
Hoem, J.M., Madsen, D., Nielsen, J.L., Ohlsen, E.-M., Hansen, H.O., and Rennermalm, B. (1981). Experiments in modelling recent Danish fertility curves. Demography 18(2): 231-244.
Hoem, J.M. and Rennermalm, B. (1978). On the statistical theory of graduation by splines. Copenhagen: University of Copenhagen, Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics (Working Paper No. 14).
Islam, M.R. and Ali, M.K. (2004). Mathematical modeling of age specific fertility rates and study the reproductivity in the rural area of Bangladesh during 1980-1998. Pakistan Journal of Statistics 20(3): 379-392.
Koehler, A.B. and Murphree, E.S. (1988). A comparison of results from state space forecasting with forecasts from the Makridakis Competition. International Journal of Forecasting 4(1): 45-55.
Larimore, W.E. and Mehra, R.K. (1985). Problem of overfitting data. Byte 10(10): 167-178.
Makinde-Adebusoye, P. (2001). Social-cultural factors affecting fertility in Sub Saharan Africa. Paper presented at the Workshop on prospects for fertility decline in high fertility countries, Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, UN Secretariat, New York, July 9-11, 2001.
Mitra, S. (1967). The pattern of age-specific fertility rates. Demography 4(2): 894-906.
Murphy, E.M. and Nagnur, D.N. (1972). A Gompertz fit that fits: Applications to Canadian fertility patterns. Demography 9(1): 35-50.
Norville, C., Gomez, R., and Brown, R.L. (2003). Some causes of fertility rates movements. University of Waterloo, Institute of Insurance and Pension Research (Research report 03-02).
Nurul Islam, M. and Mallick, S.A. (1987). On the use of a truncated Pearsonian Type III curve in fertility estimation. Dhaka University Studies Part B Science 35(1): 23-32.
Orubuloye, I.O., Caldwell, J.C., and Caldwell, P. (1991). Sexual networking in the Ekiti District of Nigeria. Studies in Family Planning 22(2): 61-73.
Ozaki, T. (1977). On the order determination of ARIMA models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics) 26(3): 290-301.
Peristera, P. and Kostaki, A. (2007). Modeling fertility in modern populations. Demographic Research 16(6): 141-194.
Romaniuk, A. (1973). A three parameter model for birth projections. Population Studies 27(3): 467-478.
Salomon, J.A. and Murray, C.J.L. (2001). Modelling HIV/AIDS epidemics in sub-Saharan Africa using seroprevalence data from antenatal clinics. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 79(7): 596-607.
Schmertmann, C. (2003). A system of model fertility schedules with graphically intuitive parameters. Demographic Research 9(5): 81-110.
Schmertmann, C. (2005). Quadratic spline fits by nonlinear least squares. Demographic Research 12(5): 105-106.
Tong, H. (1977). Some comments on the Canadian lynx data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) 140(4): 432-436.
United Nations (2000). [electronic resource].
Wunsch, G. (1966). Courbes de Gompertz et perspectives de fecondité. Recherches Economiques de Louvain 32(6): 457-468.