Volume 22 - Article 12 | Pages 289–320
The effects of shocks in early life mortality on later life expectancy and mortality compression: A cohort analysis
| Date received: | 30 Jul 2008 |
| Date published: | 05 Mar 2010 |
| Word count: | 6896 |
| Keywords: | cohort effects, early life conditions, mortality |
| DOI: | 10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.12 |
Abstract
I study how shocks in cohort-level early life conditions, as represented by deviations from trend in mortality before age 5, affect later mortality. I use data for six European countries and find that shocks that increase infant mortality decrease later life expectancy between ages 5-30. The effect is strong for England and Wales but small or insignificant for other countries. Shocks that increase mortality at ages 1-5 increase life expectancy between ages 5-30 and compress the mortality distribution. For both shocks the effects are weak at older ages. These results suggest that early life conditions have a transitory effect and potentially only little influence on old-age mortality.
Author's Affiliation
Mikko Myrskylä - Max-Planck-Institut für Demografische Forschung, Germany
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