Volume 22 - Article 19 | Pages 549–578

Women´s wages and childbearing decisions: Evidence from Italy

By Concetta Rondinelli, Arnstein Aassve, Francesco Billari

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Date received:12 Jan 2009
Date published:07 Apr 2010
Word count:7141
Keywords:childbearing decisions, discrete time duration models, lowest-low fertility
Weblink:You will find all publications in this Special Collection “Economic uncertainty and family dynamics in Europe” at http://www.demographic-research.org/special/12/


During the early 1990s, Italy became one of the first countries to reach lowest-low fertility. This was also a period in which women´s education and labour force participation increased. We analyze the role of women´s (potential) wages on their fertility decisions by making use of two different surveys. This enables us to apply discrete-time duration models. For first births, we find evidence of non-proportional hazards and of some "recuperation" effects; for second and third births, instead, wage exhibits small intensity although there is a clear division between Northern and Southern Italian regions.

Author's Affiliation

Concetta Rondinelli - Bank of Italy, Italy [Email]
Arnstein Aassve - Università Bocconi, Italy [Email]
Francesco Billari - Università Bocconi, Italy [Email]

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