Volume 28 - Article 18 | Pages 505–546

Estimating global migration flow tables using place of birth data

By Guy Abel

Print this page  Facebook  Twitter

 

 
Date received:02 Aug 2012
Date published:15 Mar 2013
Word count:8343
Keywords:conditional maximisation, international migration, international migration flows, international migration stocks, log-linear model, migration estimation
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2013.28.18
Updated Items:On June 3, 2013 several typing mistakes were corrected on pages 521, 522, and on page 524. On April 23, 2014 one mistake was corrected in equation (13) on page 516.
Additional files:flows (Excel file, 646 kB)
 

Abstract

Background: International migration flow data often lack adequate measurements of volume, direction and completeness. These pitfalls limit empirical comparative studies of migration and cross national population projections to use net migration measures or inadequate data.

Objective: This paper aims to address these issues at a global level, presenting estimates of bilateral flow tables between 191 countries.

Methods: A methodology to estimate flow tables of migration transitions for the globe is illustrated in two parts. First, a methodology to derive flows from sequential stock tables is developed. Second, the methodology is applied to recently released World Bank migration stock tables between 1960 and 2000 (Özden et al. 2011) to estimate a set of four decadal global migration flow tables.

Results: The results of the applied methodology are discussed with reference to comparable estimates of global net migration flows of the United Nations and models for international migration flows.

Comments: The proposed methodology adds to the limited existing literature on linking migration flows to stocks. The estimated flow tables represent a first-of-a-kind set of comparable global origin destination flow data.

Author's Affiliation

Guy Abel - Shanghai University, China [Email]

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

» Non-zero trajectories for long-run net migration assumptions in global population projection models
Volume 38 - Article 54

» Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model
Volume 29 - Article 43

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

» On the contribution of foreign-born populations to overall population change in Europe: Methodological insights and contemporary evidence for 31 European countries
Volume 46 - Article 7    | Keywords: international migration

» Now-casting Romanian migration into the United Kingdom by using Google Search engine data
Volume 45 - Article 40    | Keywords: international migration

» Global bilateral migration projections accounting for diasporas, transit and return flows, and poverty constraints
Volume 45 - Article 4    | Keywords: international migration

» Fertility patterns of migrants from low-fertility countries in Norway
Volume 42 - Article 31    | Keywords: international migration

» A visual tool to explore the composition of international migration flows in the EU countries, 1998–2015
Volume 42 - Article 27    | Keywords: international migration

Articles

»Volume 28

 

Citations

 

Similar Articles

 

 

Jump to Article

Volume Page
Volume Article ID