Volume 28 - Article 39 | Pages 1145–1166 
Very long range global population scenarios to 2300 and the implications of sustained low fertility
References
Abrahamson, P., Boje, T.P., and Greve, B. (2005). Welfare and families in Europe. Aldershot: Ashgate.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Basten, S. (2013). Comparing projections assumptions of fertility in advanced Asian economies; or ‘thinking beyond the medium variant’. Asian Population Studies (forthcoming).
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Basten, S., Coleman, D., and Gu, B. (2012). Re-examining the fertility assumptions in the UN’s 2010 World Population Prospects: Intentions and fertility recovery in East Asia? Paper presented at the Population Association of America Annual Meeting, San Francisco, CA, May 5 2012.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Basten, S. and Kumara, M. (2011). The development of one-child norms in Asia; or, thinking beyond 1.85. Paper presented at the Workshop on childbearing and evolutionary theory, St. John’s College, Oxford, UK, April 14 2011.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Boling, P. (2008). Demography, culture, and policy: Understanding Japan’s low fertility. Population and Development Review 34(2): 307-326.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00221.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bongaarts, J. (2008). Fertility transitions in developing countries: Progress or stagnation? Studies in Family Planning 39(2): 105-110.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4465.2008.00157.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bongaarts, J. and Sinding, S. (2011). Population policy in transition in the developing world. Science 333(6042): 574-576.
Weblink | doi:10.1126/science.1207558 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Branigan, T. (2009). Shanghai encourages second child for eligible couples.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Cohen, J.E. (2008). Make secondary education universal. Nature 456: 572-573.
Weblink | doi:10.1038/456572a |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Dasgupta, P. (1993). An inquiry into well-being and destitution. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Eurostat (2012). Statistics database [electronic resource]. Brussels: Eurostat.
Weblink | http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/ ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Ezeh, A.C., Mberu, B.U., and Emina, J.O. (2009). Stall in fertility decline in Eastern African countries: Regional analysis of patterns, determinants and implications. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 364(1532): 2991-3007.
Weblink | doi:10.1098/rstb.2009.0166 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Frejka, T. (2008a). Overview chapter 2: Parity distribution and completed family size in Europe. Incipient decline of the two-child family model. Demographic Research 19(4): 47-72.
Weblink | doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.4 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Frejka, T. (2008b). Overview chapter 3: Birth regulation in Europe: Completing the contraceptive revolution. Demographic Research 19(5): 73-84.
Weblink | doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.5 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Frejka, T. and Sobotka, T. (2008). Overview Chapter 1: Fertility in Europe: Diverse, delayed and below replacement. Demographic Research 19(3): 15-46.
Weblink | doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.3 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Frejka, T., Sobotka, T., Hoem, J.M., and Toulemon, L. (2008). Summary and general conclusions: Childbearing trends and policies in Europe. Demographic Research 19(2): 5-14.
Weblink | doi:10.4054/DemRes.2008.19.2 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Goldstein, J.R., Sobotka, T., and Jasilioniene, A. (2009). The end of “lowest-low” fertility? Population and Development Review 35(4): 663-699.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00304.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Gu, B. (2009). The arrival of low fertility in China. In: Jones, G., Straughan, P.T., and Chan, A. (eds.). Ultra-Low Fertility in Pacific Asia: Trends, Causes and Policy Issues. Abingdon, UK: Routledge: 73-95.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hermalin, A.I. and Liu, X. (1990). Gauging the validity of responses to questions on family size preferences in China. Population and Development Review 16(2): 337-354.
Weblink | doi:10.2307/1971594 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
HKCSD (2012). Hong Kong Population Projections 2012-2041. Hong Kong: Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hou, Y. and Ma, X. (2008). Studies of the desired bearing of one child in urban Beijing (in Chinese). Social Science of Beijing 9: 27-31.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hou, Y., Ma, X., and Huang, K. (2008). Research on the fertility desire and behavior of Beijing urban women from only-child families (in Chinese). Population and Development (China) 14: 47-54.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
ICF International (2012). MEASURE DHS STATcompiler [electronic resource]. Fairfax, VA: ICF International.
Weblink | http://www.statcompiler.com |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Jejeebhoy, S.J. (1996). Women's education, autonomy, and reproductive behaviour: Experience from developing countries. New York: Oxford University Press.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
King, M. (1990). Health is a sustainable state. The Lancet 336(8716): 664-667.
Weblink | doi:10.1016/0140-6736(90)92156-C |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kohler, H.-P, Billari, F.C., and Ortega, J.A. (2002). The emergence of lowest-low fertility in Europe during the 1990s. Population and Development Review 28(4): 641-680.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2002.00641.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W. (2009). Sola schola et sanitate: Human capital as the root cause and priority for international development? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 364(1532): 3031-3047.
Weblink | doi:10.1098/rstb.2009.0156 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Basten, S., and Striessnig, E. (2012). Optimal fertility. In: Kaufman, E. and Wilcox, B. (eds.). Whither the Child? Causes and Consequences of Low Fertility. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Press: 205-233.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Goujon, A., and Doblhammer-Reiter, G. (1998). Demographic dimensions in forecasting: Adding education to age and sex. Population and Development Review 24(Supplement: Frontiers of Population Forecasting): 42-58.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and Scherbov, S. (2004). The end of world population growth. In: Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and Scherbov, S. (eds.). The end of world population growth in the 21st century: New challenges for human capital formation and sustainable development. London: Earthscan: 17-62.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Sanderson, W., and Scherbov, S. (2008). The coming acceleration of global population ageing. Nature 451: 716-719.
Weblink | doi:10.1038/nature06516 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Lutz, W., Skirbekk, V., and Testa, M.R. (2006). The Low Fertility Trap Hypothesis: Forces that may lead to further postponement and fewer births in Europe. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2006: 167-192.
Weblink | doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2006s167 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Morgan, S.P. and Rackin, H. (2010). The correspondence between fertility intentions and behavior in the United States. Population and Development Review 36(1): 91-118.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00319.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Nakicenovic, N. and Swart, R. (eds.) (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios : A Special Report of Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
National Bureau of Statistics of China (2011). Communiqué of the National Bureau of Statistics of People's Republic of China on Major Figures of the 2010 Population Census (No. 2) [electronic resource]. Beijing: NBS.
Weblink | http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/newsandcoming ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Scherbov, S. and Grechucha, V. (1988). "DIAL" - A System for Modeling Multidimensional Demographic Processes. Laxenburg, Austria: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA Working Paper WP-88-36).
Weblink | http://www.iiasa.ac.at/publication/more_WP-88-036.php |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
SMPFPC (2008). Briefing on SMPFPC Fertility Survey 2008 (in Chinese). Shanghai: Shanghai Municipal Population and Family Planning Commission.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
SMPFPC (2009a). 2008 Houshold population, age, fertility and early education (in Chinese) [electronic resource]. Shanghai: Shanghai Municipal Population and Family Planning Commission.
Weblink | http://rkjsw.sh.gov.cn/dr/stat/ssh/20090611/0 ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
SMPFPC (2009b). The registered population of Shanghai, total fertility rates (in Chinese) [electronic resource]. Shanghai: Shanghai Municipal Population and Family Planning Commission.
Weblink | http://rkjsw.sh.gov.cn/dr/stat/ssh/2003-10-08 ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
SMPFPC (2009c). Born in Shanghai in 2009: The population forecast and analysis of the results of the survey release (in Chinese). Shanghai: Shanghai Municipal Population and Family Planning Commission.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sobotka, T. (2004). Is lowest-low fertility in Europe explained by the postponement of childbearing? Population and Development Review 30(2): 195-220.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2004.010_1.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Sobotka, T., Skirbekk, V., and Philipov, D. (2011). Economic recession and fertility in the developed world. Population and Development Review 37(2): 267-306.
Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00411.x |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Straughan, P., Chan, A., and Jones, G. (2008). Ultra-low fertility in Pacific Asia: Trends, causes and policy issues. Abingdon, UK: Routledge.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Testa, M.R. (2012). Family sizes in Europe: Evidence from the 2011 Eurobarometer Survey. Vienna: Vienna Institute of Demography (VID European Demographic Research Papers; 2012:2).
Weblink | http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/download/edrp_2_2012.pdf |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNFPA (2011). Impact of demographic change in Thailand. Bangkok: United Nations Population Fund.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNPD (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 revision highlights. New York: United Nations Population Division (ESA/P/WP. 180).
Weblink | http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNPD (2004). World population to 2300. New York: United Nations Population Division (ST/ESA/SER.A/236).
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNPD (2011a). Assumptions underlying the 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations Population Division.
Weblink | http://esa.un.org/wpp/Documentation/pdf/WPP20 ... |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
UNPD (2011b). World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision. New York: United Nations Population Division.
Weblink | http://esa.un.org/wpp |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wattenberg, B.J. (2005). Fewer: How the new demography of depopulation will shape our future. New York: Ivan R. Dee Publishers.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wen, Y., Yin, Q., Shuai, Y., and Wen, Y. (2005). Analysis of birth preference of young generation in Nanjing (in Chinese). Northwest Population Journal 2: 10-13.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wen, Y. and Zong, Z.-H. (2006). Birth preference of people at birth age in Changzhou city and its causes (in Chinese). Journal of Nanjing College for Population Programme Management 22: 40-43.
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Zheng, Z., Cai, Y., Feng, W., and Gu, B. (2009). Below-replacement fertility and childbearing intention in Jiangsu Province. China Asian Population Studies 5(3): 329-347.
Weblink | doi:10.1080/17441730903351701 |
Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Articles