Volume 40 - Article 42 | Pages 1211–1248

The changing pattern of cohabitation: A sequence analysis approach

By Paola Di Giulio, Roberto Impicciatore, Maria Sironi

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Date received:16 May 2018
Date published:14 May 2019
Word count:7397
Keywords:cohabitation, Europe, family dynamics, family formation, second demographic transition, unions
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2019.40.42
 

Abstract

Background: During the last decades, nonmarital cohabitation has diffused throughout the industrialised world, although not uniformly. The Second Demographic Transition (SDT) predicts a convergence of cohabitation patterns towards a final stage in which cohabitation and marriage will be almost indistinguishable.

Objective: This paper contributes to the literature on the convergence of cohabitation patterns across countries by testing whether countries are becoming more similar over time, as suggested by the SDT.

Methods: We use sequence analysis and cluster analysis techniques to classify different patterns of cohabitation in France, Italy, Norway, Bulgaria, and the United States. Using data mainly stemming from the Gender and Generations Surveys (GGS), we analyse women’s patterns of behaviour during the five years following the start of their first cohabitation, over a time span of three decades (1970s–2000s).

Results: On the basis of sequencing the events of childbirth, marriage, and separation we are able to identify five different clusters corresponding to different ways of going through the cohabitation experience.

Conclusions: Our results suggest that there is a general decreasing trend of cohabitation as a pre-marital experience and an increasing trend of cohabitation as an alternative to marriage or as a free union. However, within this homogeneous trend, persistent peculiarities at the country level suggest that the selected countries are not simply at different stages of the same trajectory.

Contribution: The classification that emerges from the data-driven approach combines several features of already existing typologies of cohabitation experience. Analysis of the data highlights country peculiarities in the development of the cohabitation experience, rather than the existence of a common path as predicted by the SDT.

Author's Affiliation

Paola Di Giulio - Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), Austria [Email]
Roberto Impicciatore - Università di Bologna (UNIBO), Italy [Email]
Maria Sironi - University College London (UCL), United Kingdom [Email]

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

» Ageing dynamics of a human-capital-specific population: A demographic perspective
Volume 31 - Article 44

» MAPLES: A general method for the estimation of age profiles from standard demographic surveys (with an application to fertility)
Volume 24 - Article 29

» Intergenerational family ties and the diffusion of cohabitation in Italy
Volume 16 - Article 14

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