Bacaër, N., Ouifki, R., Pretorius, C., Wood, R., and Williams, B. (2008). Modeling the joint epidemics of TB and HIV in a South African township. Journal of Mathematical Biology 57(557).

Bor, J., Herbst, A.J., Newell, M.L., and Bärnighausen, T. (2013). Increases in adult life expectancy in rural South Africa: Valuing the scale-up of HIV treatment. Science 339(6122): 961–965.

Bradshaw, D., Msemburi, W., Dorrington, R., Pillay-van Wyk, V., Laubscher, R., and Groenewald, P. (2016). HIV/AIDS in South Africa: how many people died from the disease between 1997 and 2010? AIDS 30(5): 771–778.

Burton, R., Giddy, J., and Stinson, K. (2015). Prevention of mother-to-child transmission in South Africa: an ever-changing landscape. Obstetric Medicine 8(1): 5–12.

Davey, D.L.J., Bekker, L.G., Gomba, Y., Coates, T., Myer, L., and Johnson, L.F. (2019). Modelling the potential impact of providing preexposure prophylaxis in pregnant and breastfeeding women in South Africa. AIDS 33(8): 1391–1395.

Dorrington, R.E., Bradshaw, D., Laubscher, R., and Nannan, N. (2020). Rapid mortality surveillance report 2018. South Africa: Cape Town.

Guthrie, T., Chaitkin, M., Khoza, N., Zulu, N., Madisha, V., Ndlovu, N., Shezi, S., Karume, J., Motsoeneng, P., Simelane, S., and Meyer-Rath, G. (2018). Consolidated spending on HIV and TB in South Africa (2014/15–2016/17). Pretoria, South Africa: National Department of Health and Health Finance and Governance Project, Results for Development.

Haghighat, R., Toska, E., Bungane, N., and Cluver, L. (2021). The HIV care cascade for adolescents initiated on antiretroviral therapy in a health district of South Africa: A retrospective cohort study. BMC Infectious Diseases 21(1): 1–9.

Herbst, A.J., Cooke, G.S., Bärnighausen, T., KanyKany, A., Tanser, F., and Newell, M.L. (2009). Adult mortality and antiretroviral treatment roll-out in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 87: 754–762.

Johnson, L.F. and Dorrington, R.E. (2019). Thembisa version 4.2: A model for evaluating the impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa. Cape Town: University of Cape Town.

Johnson, L.F., Keiser, O., Fox, M.P., Tanser, F., Cornell, M., Hoffmann, C.J., Prozesky, H., Boulle, A., and Davies, M.A. (2016). Life expectancy trends in adults on antiretroviral treatment in South Africa. AIDS 30(16): 2545.

Johnson, L.F., May, M.T., Dorrington, R.E., Cornell, M., Boulle, A., Egger, M., and Davies, M.A. (2017). Estimating the impact of antiretroviral treatment on adult mortality trends in South Africa: A mathematical modelling study. PLoS Medicine 14(12): e1002468.

Johnson, L.F., Mossong, J., Dorrington, R.E., Schomaker, M., Hoffmann, C.J., Keiser, O., Fox, M.P., Wood, R., Prozesky, H., Giddy, J., and Garone, D.B. (2013). Life expectancies of South African adults starting antiretroviral treatment: Collaborative analysis of cohort studies. PLoS Medicine 10(4): e1001418.

Johnson, L.F., Patrick, M., Stephen, C., Patten, G., Dorrington, R.E., Maskew, M., Jamieson, L., and Davies, M.A. (2020). Steep declines in pediatric AIDS mortality in South Africa, despite poor progress toward pediatric diagnosis and treatment targets. The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal 39(9): 843–848.

Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) (2020). South Africa 2020. Geneva, Switzerland: UNAIDS Secretariat.

Mabaso, M., Sokhela, Z., Mohlabane, N., Chibi, B., Zuma, K., and Simbayi, L. (2018). Determinants of HIV infection among adolescent girls and young women aged 15–24 years in South Africa: A 2012 population-based national household survey. BMC Public Health 18(183).

Marinda, E., Simbayi, L., Zuma, K., Zungu, N., Moyo, S., Kondlo, L., Jooste, S., Nadol, P., Igumbor, E., Dietrich, C., and Briggs-Hagen, M. (2020). Towards achieving the 90–90–90 HIV targets: Results from the South African 2017 National HIV Survey. BMC Public Health 20(1375).

May, M.T. and Ingle, S.M. (2011). Life expectancy of HIV-positive adults: A review. Sexual Health 8(4): 526–533.

Pillay-van Wyk, V., Msemburi, W., Laubscher, R., Dorrington, R.E., Groenewald, P., Glass, T., Nojilana, B., Joubert, J.D., Matzopoulos, R., Prinsloo, M., and Nannan, N. (2016). Mortality trends and differentials in South Africa from 1997 to 2012: Second National Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet Global Health 4(9): e642-e653.

Preston, S., Heuveline, P., and Guillot, M. (2000). Demography: Measuring and modeling population processes. Malden, Massachusetts: Blackwell Publishers.

Reniers, G., Blom, S., Calvert, C., Martin-Onraet, A., Herbst, A.J., Eaton, J.W., Bor, J., Slaymaker, E., Li, Z.R., Clark, S.J., and Bärnighausen, T. (2017). Trends in the burden of HIV mortality after roll-out of antiretroviral therapy in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: An observational community cohort study. The Lancet HIV 4(3): e113–e121.

Simelela, N., Venter, W.F., Pillay, Y., and Barron, P. (2015). A political and social history of HIV in South Africa. Current HIV/AIDS Reports 12(2): 256–261.

Slogrove, A.L., Johnson, L.F., and Powis, K.M. (2019). Population-level mortality associated with HIV exposure in HIV-uninfected infants in Botswana and South Africa: a model-based evaluation. Journal of Tropical Pediatrics 65(4): 373–379.

South African Government (2013). National development plan 2030 [electronic resource]. Pretoria: Republic of South Africa.

Statistics South Africa (2020). Mortality and causes of death in South Africa, 2017: Findings from death notification [electronic resource]. Pretoria: Statistics South Africa, Republic of South Africa.

Tanser, F., Bärnighausen, T., Grapsa, E., Zaidi, J., and Newell, M.L. (2013). High coverage of ART associated with decline in risk of HIV acquisition in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Science 339(6122): 966–971.

Tanser, F., Hosegood, V., Bärnighausen, T., Herbst, K., Nyirenda, M., Muhwava, W., Newell, C., Viljoen, J., Mutevedzi, T., and Newell, M.L. (2008). Cohort profile: Africa Centre demographic information system (ACDIS) and population-based HIV survey. International Journal of Epidemiology 37(5): 956–962.

Todd, J., Glynn, J.R., Marston, M., Lutalo, T., Biraro, S., Mwita, W., Suriyanon, V., Rangsin, R., Nelson, K.E., Sonnenberg, P., Fitzgerald, D., Karita, E., and Zaba, B. (2007). Time from HIV seroconversion to death: A collaborative analysis of eight studies in six low and middle-income countries before highly active antiretroviral therapy. AIDS 21(Suppl 6): 55–63.