Volume 29 - Article 4 | Pages 85–104 
Fertility Reactions to the "Great Recession" in Europe: Recent Evidence from Order-Specific Data
| Date received: | 09 Jan 2013 |
| Date published: | 10 Jul 2013 |
| Word count: | 2111 |
| Keywords: | birth order, Europe, fertility, uncertainty, unemployment |
| DOI: | 10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.4 |
| Additional files: | readme.29-4 (text file, 316 Byte) |
| demographic-research.29-4 (zip file, 850 kB) | |
Abstract
Objective: This paper provides recent cross-national evidence of the impact of the great recession on fertility in Europe in the context of the recent decade.
Methods: Using data from the Human Fertility Database (HFD), from Eurostat, and from the OECD database, we employ fixed-effects modeling to study how changes in unemployment rates have affected birth rates across Europe.
Results: We find that countries that were hit hard by the recession show reduced fertility when compared with a continuation of recent trends, especially at younger ages.
Conclusions: Our results indicate a strong relationship between economic conditions and fertility. However, there is variation by region, age, and parity suggesting the importance of life course and institutional factors.
Author's Affiliation
Joshua R. Goldstein - University of California, Berkeley, United States of America
Michaela Kreyenfeld - Hertie School of Governance, Germany
Aiva Jasilioniene - Max-Planck-Institut für Demografische Forschung, Germany
Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal - Leuphana Universität Lüneburg, Germany
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