Articles By Subject

population forecasting

14 April 2026 | research article

Probabilistic population forecasts for small regions

Julius Goes, Henriette Engelhardt

Volume: 54 Article ID: 23
Pages: 719–762
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2026.54.23

17 May 2022 | research article

Preparing local area population forecasts using a bi-regional cohort-component model without the need for local migration data

Tom Wilson

Volume: 46 Article ID: 32
Pages: 919–956
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2022.46.32

30 June 2021 | research article

Probabilistic forecasting of maximum human lifespan by 2100 using Bayesian population projections

Michael Pearce, Adrian E. Raftery

Volume: 44 Article ID: 52
Pages: 1271–1294
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2021.44.52

26 July 2019 | research article

Subnational population forecasts: Do users want to know about uncertainty?

Tom Wilson, Fiona Shalley

Volume: 41 Article ID: 13
Pages: 367–392
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.13

10 December 2013 | research material

Integrating uncertainty in time series population forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model

Guy Abel, Jakub Bijak, Jonathan J. Forster, James Raymer, Peter W F Smith, Jackie S.T. Wong

Volume: 29 Article ID: 43
Pages: 1187–1226
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2013.29.43

16 January 2007 | research article

A new perspective on population aging

Warren C. Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov

Volume: 16 Article ID: 2
Pages: 27–58
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2007.16.2

23 September 2004 | research article

Australia's uncertain demographic future

Tom Wilson, Martin Bell

Volume: 11 Article ID: 8
Pages: 195–234
DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2004.11.8