Volume 51 - Article 24 | Pages 763–788  

On the relationship between life expectancy, modal age at death, and the threshold age of the life table entropy

By Chiara Micheletti, Francisco Villavicencio

Abstract

Background: Indicators of longevity like the life expectancy at birth or the modal age at death are always positively affected by improvements in mortality. Instead, for lifespan variation it has been shown that there exists a threshold age above and below which averting deaths respectively increases or decreases such variation.

Objective: Within a Gompertz force of mortality setting, we aim to provide approximations of the life expectancy at birth and the threshold age of the life table entropy in terms of the modal age at death, highlighting the interrelationships holding among the three.

Results: In the Gompertz framework, a tight relationship exists between the life expectancy at birth, the threshold age of the life table entropy, and the modal age at death, with the former two moving together and in parallel to the latter. We apply this theoretical result to life table data from the Human Mortality Database to show how the different relationships evolve over time. We observe a remarkable association between the modal and the threshold ages, even in populations with high mortality levels.

Contribution: We provide approximations of the life expectancy at birth and the threshold age of the life table entropy in terms of the Gompertz modal age at death. This is a mathematical demography paper that builds upon previous research by James W. Vaupel and illustrates the beauty – and oftentimes simplicity – of the mathematical relationships between demographic concepts.

Author’s Affiliation

Other articles by the same author/authors in Demographic Research

The threshold age of the lifetable entropy
Volume 41 - Article 4

Life lived and left: Estimating age-specific survival in stable populations with unknown ages
Volume 39 - Article 37

Symmetries between life lived and left in finite stationary populations
Volume 35 - Article 14

Similar articles in Demographic Research

Bayesian multidimensional mortality reconstruction
Volume 54 - Article 28    | Keywords: Bayesian reconstruction, data lack, hierarchical modelling, mortality

Winter life expectancy reduction in Europe
Volume 54 - Article 26    | Keywords: Europe, excess winter deaths, excess winter mortality paradox, life expectancy, mortality, summer, weekly mortality data, winter

Bringing cause-of-death analysis into demography: An interview with France Meslé
Volume 54 - Article 24    | Keywords: causes of death, epidemiological transition, health transition, mortality, mortality data

Refining seasonal mortality estimates through age adjustment: Evidence from Serbia, 2015–2023
Volume 54 - Article 15    | Keywords: age adjustment, excess mortality, life expectancy, mortality, mortality estimates, seasonal fluctuations, Serbia

Feminicide as a determinant of Mexican female life expectancy in the 21st century
Volume 53 - Article 24    | Keywords: female life expectancy, feminicide, life expectancy, Mexico, mortality, violence, women