Volume 14 - Article 22 | Pages 541–574
Modelling the demographic impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa and the likely impact of interventions
References
Abdullah, M., Young, T., Bitalo, L., Coetzee, N., and Myers, J.E. (2001). Public health lessons from a pilot programme to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Khayelitsha. South African Medical Journal 91(7): 579-583.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Actuarial Society of South Africa (2004). ASSA2002 AIDS and Demographic Model.
| Weblink | http://www.assa.org.za/default.asp?id=1000000050 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Badri, M., Bekker, L.G., Orrell, C., Pitt, J., Cilliers, F., and Wood, R. (2004). Initiating highly active antiretroviral therapy in sub-Saharan Africa: an assessment of the revised World Health Organization scaling-up guidelines. AIDS 18(8): 1159-1168.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200405210-00009 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Boily, M., Bastos, F.I., Desai, K., and Mâsse, B. (2004). Changes in the transmission dynamics of the HIV epidemic after the wide-scale use of antiretroviral therapy could explain increases in sexually transmitted infections. Sexually Transmitted Diseases 31(2): 100-113.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/01.OLQ.0000112721.21285.A2 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bracher, M., Santow, G., and Cotts Watkins, S. (2004). Assessing the potential of condom use to prevent the spread of HIV: a microsimulation study. Studies in Family Planning 35(1): 48-64.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1728-4465.2004.00005.x |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bradshaw, D., Groenewald, P., Laubscher, R., Nannan, N., Nojilana, B., Norman, R., Pieterse, D., Schneider, M., Bourne, D.E., Timæus, I.M., Dorrington, R., and Johnson, L. (2003). Initial burden of disease estimates for South Africa, 2000. South African Medical Journal 93(9): 682-688.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Bradshaw, D., Laubscher, R., Dorrington, R.E., Bourne, D.E., and Timæus, I.M. (2004). Unabated rise in number of adult deaths in South Africa. South African Medical Journal 94(4): 278-279.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Buvé, A., Weiss, H.A., Laga, M., Van Dyck, E., Musonda, R., Zekeng, L., Kahindo, M., Anagonou, S., Morison, L., Robinson, N.J., Hayes, R. J., and for the Study Group on Heterogeneity of HIV Epidemics in African Cities (2001). The epidemiology of gonorrhoea, chlamydial infection and syphilis in four African cities. AIDS 15(Suppl 4): S79-S88.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200108004-00009 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Carpenter, L.M., Kamali, A., Ruberantwari, A., Malamba, S.S., and Whitworth, J.A.G. (1999). Rates of HIV-1 transmission within marriage in rural Uganda in relation to the HIV sero-status of the partners. AIDS 13(9): 1083-1089.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-199906180-00012 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Collaborative Group on AIDS Incubation and HIV Survival (2000). Time from HIV-1 seroconversion to AIDS and death before widespread use of highly-active antiretroviral therapy: a collaborative re-analysis. Lancet 355(9210): 1131-1137.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(00)02061-4 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Coutsoudis, A., Pillay, K., Spooner, E., Kuhn, L., Coovadia, H.M., and for the South African Vitamin A Study Group (1999). Influence of infant-feeding patterns on early mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Durban, South Africa: a prospective cohort study. Lancet 354(9177): 471-476.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(99)01101-0 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Dabis, F., Msellati, P., Meda, N., Welffens-Ekrad, C., Youe, B., Manigartc, O., Leroya, V., Simononc, A., Cartouxc, M., Combee, P., Ouangréc, A., Ramone, R., Ky-Zerboc, O., Montchoe, C., Salamona, R., Rouziouxf, C., Van de Perrec, P., Mandelbrotg, L., and DITRAME Study Group (1999). Six-month efficacy, tolerance, and acceptability of a short regimen of oral zidovudine to reduce vertical transmission of HIV in breastfed children in Cote d'Ivoire and Burkina Faso: a double-blind placebo-controlled multicentre trial. Lancet 353(9155): 786-792.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(98)11046-2 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Davidse, A. (2000). An analysis of the course of HIV infection using a Markov model. [Thesis]. University of Cape Town, Department of Statistics.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
De Cock, K.M., Bunnell, R., and Mermin, J. (2006). Unfinished business - expanding HIV testing in developing countries. New England Journal of Medicine 354(5): 440-442.
| Weblink | doi:10.1056/NEJMp058327 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
De Vincenzi, I. and European Study Group on Heterosexual Transmission of HIV (1994). A longitudinal study of human immunodeficiency virus transmission by heterosexual partners. New England Journal of Medicine 331(6): 341-346.
| Weblink | doi:10.1056/NEJM199408113310601 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Department of Health (1999). South Africa Demographic and Health Survey 1998: Full Report.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Department of Health (2001). National HIV and syphilis sero-prevalence survey of women attending public antenatal clinics in South Africa: 2000.
| Weblink | http://www.doh.gov.za/docs/index.html |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Department of Health (2004). National HIV and syphilis antenatal sero-prevalence survey in South Africa 2003.
| Weblink | http://www.doh.gov.za/docs/index.html |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Deschamps, M., Fitzgerald, D., Pape, J., and Johnson, W. (2000). HIV infection in Haiti: natural history and disease progression. AIDS 14(16): 2515-2521.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200011100-00014 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Dorrington, R.E. (2000). The ASSA2000 suite of models. Somerset West, South Africa: Actuarial Society of South Africa Convention, 2000.
| Weblink | http://www.assa.org.za/default.asp?id=1000000086 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Dorrington, R.E., Johnson, L.F., and Budlender, D. (2004). ASSA2002 AIDS and Demographic models: User guide. Centre for Actuarial Research.
| Weblink | http://www.assa.org.za/default.asp?id=1000000050 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Dorrington, R.E., Moultrie, T.A., and Timæus, I.M. (2004). Estimation of mortality using the South African Census 2001 data. Centre for Actuarial Research (Monograph 11).
| Weblink | http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/Research_Units/CARE/ |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Downs, A. and De Vincenzi, I. (1996). Probability of heterosexual transmission of HIV: relationship to the number of unprotected sexual contacts. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 11(4): 388-395.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00042560-199604010-00010 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Eley, B. (2005). Addressing the paediatric HIV epidemic: a perspective from the Western Cape Region of South Africa. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 100(1): 19-23.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/j.trstmh.2005.04.015 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Fideli, U.S., Allen, S.A., Musonda, R., Trask, S., Hahn, B.H., Weiss, H., Mulenga, J., Kasolo, F., Vermund, S.H., and Aldrovandi, G.M. (2001). Virologic and immunologic determinants of heterosexual transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 in Africa. AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses 17(10): 901-910.
| Weblink | doi:10.1089/088922201750290023 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Fylkesnes, K., Haworth, A., Rosensvard, C., and Kwapa, P.M. (1999). HIV counselling and testing: overemphasizing high acceptance rates a threat to confidentiality and the right not to know. AIDS 13(17): 2469-2474.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-199912030-00019 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Geffen, N., Nattrass, N., and Raubenheimer, C. (2003). The cost of HIV prevention and treatment interventions in South Africa. Centre for Social Science Research (Working Paper 28).
| Weblink | http://www.cssr.uct.ac.za/pubs_cssr.html |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Glynn, J.R., Sonnenberg, P., and Nelson, G. et al. (2005). The effect of HIV on adult mortality: evidence from a large cohort of South African gold-miners with known dates of seroconversion and 10 years of follow-up. Paper presented at the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population Conference, Tours, France, July 18-23, 2005.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Gray, R., Wawer, M., Brookmeyer, R., Sewankambo, N.K., Serwadda, D., Wabwire-Mangen, F., Lutalo, T., Li, X., vanCott, T., Quinn, T.C., and the Rakai Project Team (2001). Probability of HIV-1 transmission per coital act in monogamous, heterosexual, HIV-1-discordant couples in Rakai, Uganda. Lancet 357(9263): 1149-1153.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(00)04331-2 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Gray, R.H., Li, X., Wawer, M.J., Gange, S., Serwadda, D., Sewankambo, N.K., Moore, R., Wabwire-Mangen, F., Lutalo, T., Quinn, T.C., and for The Rakai Project Group (2003). Stochastic simulation of the impact of antiretroviral therapy and HIV vaccines on HIV transmission; Rakai, Uganda. AIDS 17(13): 1941-1951.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200309050-00013 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Gregson, S., Terceira, N., Kakowa, M., Mason, P.R., Anderson, R.M., Chandiwana, S.K., and Caraël, M. (2002). Study of bias in antenatal clinic HIV-1 surveillance data in a high contraceptive prevalence population in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 16(4): 643-652.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200203080-00017 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Guay, L.A., Musoke, P., Fleming, T., Bagenda, D., Allen, M., Nakabiito, C., Sherman, J., Bakaki, P., Ducar, C., Deseyve, M., Emel, L., Mirochnick, M., Fowler, M.G., Mofenson, L., Miotti, P., Dransfield, K., Bray, D., Mmiro, F., and Jackson, J.B. (1999). Intrapartum and neonatal single-dose nevirapine compared with zidovudine for prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Kampala, Uganda: HIVNET 012 randomised trial. Lancet 354(9181): 795-802.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(99)80008-7 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hankins, C., Tran, T., and Lapointe, N. (1998). Sexual behaviour and pregnancy outcome in HIV-infected women. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 18(5): 479-487.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00042560-199808150-00010 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Heuveline, P. (2003). HIV and population dynamics: a general model and maximum-likelihood standards for East Africa. Demography 40(2): 217-245.
| Weblink | doi:10.1353/dem.2003.0013 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hubert, J., Burgard, M., Dussaix, E., Tamalet, C., Deveau, C., Le Chenadec, J., Chaix, M.-L., Marchadier, E., Vildé, J.-L., Delfraissy, J.-F., Meyer, L., Rouzioux, C., and the SEROCO Study Group (2000). Natural history of serum HIV-1 RNA levels in 330 patients with a known date of infection. AIDS 14(2): 123-131.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200001280-00007 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Human Sciences Research Council (2002). South African national HIV prevalence, behavioural risks and mass media household survey 2002.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Hussey, G.D., Reijnhart, R.M., Sebens, A.M., Burgess, J., Schaaf, S., and Potgieter, S. (1998). Survival of children in Cape Town known to be vertically infected with HIV-1. South African Medical Journal 88(5): 554-558.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Johnson, L.F., Dorrington, R., and Matthews, A. (2006). An uncertainty analysis and sensitivity analysis of the ASSA2002 AIDS and Demographic model. Centre for Actuarial Research, Working paper.
| Weblink | http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/Research_Units/CARE/ |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Johnson, L.F. and Dorrington, R.E. (2001). The impact of AIDS on orphanhood in South Africa: a quantitative analysis. Centre for Actuarial Research.
| Weblink | http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/Research_Units/CARE/ |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Jordan, R., Gold, L., Cummins, C., and Hyde, C. (2002). Systematic review and meta-analysis of evidence for increasing numbers of drugs in antiretroviral combination therapy. British Medical Journal 324(7340): 1-10.
| Weblink | doi:10.1136/bmj.324.7340.757 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Kassa, E., Rinke de Wit, T.F., Hailu, E., Girma, M., Messele, T., Mariam, H.G., Yohannes, S., Jurriaans, S., Yeneneh, H., Coutinho, R., and Fontanet, A.L. (1999). Evaluation of the World Health Organization staging system for HIV infection and disease in Ethiopia: association between clinical stages and laboratory markers. AIDS 13(3): 381-389.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-199902250-00011 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Korenromp, E.L., Van Vliet, C., Bakker, R., de Vlas, S.J., Dik, J., and Habbema, F. (2000). HIV spread and partnership reduction for different patterns of sexual behaviour - a study with the microsimulation model STDSIM. Mathematical Population Studies 8(2): 135-173.
| Weblink | doi:10.1080/08898480009525479 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Longini, I., Scott Clark, W., Byers, R., Ward, J.W., Darrow, W.W., Lemp, G.F., and Hethcote, H.W. (1989). Statistical analysis of the stages of HIV infection using a Markov model. Statistics in Medicine 8(7): 831-843.
| Weblink | doi:10.1002/sim.4780080708 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Maartens, G., Wood, R., O'Keefe, E., and Byrne, C. (1997). Independent epidemics of heterosexual and homosexual infection in South Africa - survival differences. Quarterly Journal of Medicine 90(7): 449-454.
| Weblink | doi:10.1093/qjmed/90.7.449 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Malamba, S., Morgan, D., Clayton, T., Mayanja, B., Okongo, M., and Whitworth, J.A.G. (1999). The prognostic value of the World Health Organisation staging system for HIV infection and disease in rural Uganda. AIDS 13(18): 2555-2562.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-199912240-00009 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Manzi, M., Zachariah, R., Teck, R., Buhendwa, L., Kazima, J., Bakali, E., Firmenich, P., and Humblet, P. (2005). High acceptability of voluntary counselling and HIV-testing but unacceptable loss to follow up in a prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission programme in rural Malawi: scaling-up requires a different way of acting. Tropical Medicine and International Health 10(12): 1242-1250.
| Weblink | doi:10.1111/j.1365-3156.2005.01526.x |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Marston, M., Zaba, B., Salomon, J.A., Brahmbhatt, H., and Bagenda, D. (2005). Estimating the net effect of HIV on child mortality in African populations affected by generalized HIV epidemics. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 38(2): 219-227.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00126334-200502010-00015 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
McCoy, D., Besser, M., Visser, R., and Doherty, T. (2002). Interim findings on the national PMTCT pilot sites: lessons and recommendations. Health Systems Trust.
| Weblink | http://www.hst.org.za/publications/478 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
McLeod, H.D., Achmat, Z., and Stein, A.M. (2003). Minimum benefits for HIV/AIDS in South African medical schemes. South African Actuarial Journal 3: 77-111.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Miotti, P.G., Taha, T.E.T., Kumwenda, N.I., Broadhead, R., Mtimavalye, L.A.R., Van der Hoeven, L., Chiphangwi, J.D., Liomba, G., and Biggar, R.J. (1999). HIV transmission through breastfeeding: a study in Malawi. Journal of the American Medical Association 282(8): 744-749.
| Weblink | doi:10.1001/jama.282.8.744 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Morgan, D., Mahe, C., B., Mayanja, Okongo, J.M., Lubega, R., and Whitworth, J.A.G. (2002). HIV-1 infection in rural Africa: is there a difference in median time to AIDS and survival compared with that in industrialized countries? AIDS 16(4): 597-603.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200203080-00011 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Morgan, D., Mahe, C., Mayanja, B., and Whitworth, J.A.G. (2002). Progression to symptomatic disease in people infected with HIV-1 in rural Uganda: prospective cohort study. British Medical Journal 324(7331): 193-196.
| Weblink | doi:10.1136/bmj.324.7331.193 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Murphy, E., Collier, A., Kalish, L., Assmann, S.F., Para, M.F., Flanigan, T.P., Kumar, P.N., Mintz, L., Wallach, F.R., Nemo, G.J., and for the Viral Activation Transfusion Study Investigators (2001). Highly active antiretroviral therapy decreases mortality and morbidity in patients with advanced HIV disease. Annals of Internal Medicine 135(1): 17-26.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Myer, L. (2005). Barrier methods. In: Abdool Karim, S.S. and Abdool Karim, Q. (eds.). HIV/AIDS in South Africa. Cape Town: Cambridge University Press.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Nagelkerke, N.J.D., Jha, P., de Vlas, S.J., Korenromp, E.L., Moses, S., Blanchard, J.F., and Plummer, F.A. (2002). Modelling HIV/AIDS epidemics in Botswana and India: impact of interventions to prevent transmission. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 80(2): 89-96.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Nduati, R., John, G., Mbori-Ngacha, D., Richardson, B., Overbaugh, J., Mwatha, A., Ndinya-Achola, J., Bwayo, J., Onyango, F.E., Hughes, J., and Kreiss, J. (2000). Effect of breastfeeding and formula feeding on transmission of HIV-1: a randomized clinical trial. Journal of the American Medical Association 283(9): 1167-1174.
| Weblink | doi:10.1001/jama.283.9.1167 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Palella, F., Delaney, K., Moorman, A., Loveless, M.O., Fuhrer, J., Satten, G.A., Aschman, D.J., Holmberg, S.D., and the HIV Outpatient Study Investigators (1998). Declining morbidity and mortality among patients with advanced human immunodeficiency virus infection. New England Journal of Medicine 338: 853-860.
| Weblink | doi:10.1056/NEJM199803263381301 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Peterman, T.A., Stoneburner, R.L., Allen, J.R., Jaffe, H.W., and Curran, J.W. (1988). Risk of human immunodeficiency virus transmission from heterosexual adults with transfusion-associated infections. Journal of the American Medical Association 259(1): 55-58.
| Weblink | doi:10.1001/jama.1988.03720010033036 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Pilcher, C.D., Tien, H.C., Eron, J.J., Vernazza, P.L., Leu, S.-Y., Stewart, P.W., Goh, L.-E., and Cohen, M.S. (2004). Brief but efficient: acute HIV infection and the sexual transmission of HIV. Journal of Infectious Diseases 189(10): 1785-1792.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/386333 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Plourde, P.J., Pepin, J., Agoki, E., Ronald, A.R., Ombette, J., Tyndall, M., Cheang, M., Ndinya-Achola, J.O., D'Costa, L.J., and Plummer, F.A. (1994). Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 seroconversion in women with genital ulcers. Journal of Infectious Diseases 170(2): 313-317.
| Weblink | doi:10.1093/infdis/170.2.313 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Quinn, T., Wawer, M., Sewankambo, N., Serwadda, D., Li, C., Wabwire-Mangen, F., Meehan, M.O., Lutalo, T., and Gray, R.H. (2000). Viral load and heterosexual transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1. New England Journal of Medicine 342: 921-929.
| Weblink | doi:10.1056/NEJM200003303421303 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Ramkissoon, A., Kleinschmidt, I., and Beksinska, M. et al. (2004). National Baseline Assessment of Sexually Transmitted Infection and HIV Services in South African Public Sector Health Facilities. Reproductive Health Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand.
| Weblink | http://www.rhru.co.za/images/Docs/6%20proof%2 ... |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Reproductive Health Research Unit (2004). HIV and sexual behaviour among young South Africans: a national survey of 15-24 year olds. Joint publication of Reproductive Health Research Unit and loveLife.
| Weblink | http://www.rhru.co.za/images/Docs/national%20 ... |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Robinson, N.J., Mulder, D.W., Auvert, B., and Hayes, R.J. (1995). Modelling the impact of alternative HIV intervention strategies in rural Uganda. AIDS 9(11): 1263-1270.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-199511000-00008 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Røttingen, J., Cameron, D.W., and Garnett, G.P. (2001). A systematic review of the epidemiological interactions between classic sexually transmitted diseases and HIV: how much is really known? Sexually Transmitted Diseases 28(10): 579-597.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00007435-200110000-00005 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Ross, A., Van der Paal, L., Lubega, R., Mayanja, B.N., Shafer, L.A., and Whitworth, J.A.G. (2004). HIV-1 disease progression and fertility: the incidence of recognized pregnancy and pregnancy outcome in Uganda. AIDS 18(5): 799-804.
| Weblink | doi:10.1097/00002030-200403260-00012 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Salomon, J.A., Hogan, D.R., Stover, J., Stanecki, K.A., Walker, N., Ghys, P.D., and Schwartländer, B. (2005). Integrating HIV prevention and treatment: from slogans to impact. PLoS Medicine 2(1): e16.
| Weblink | doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020016 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Schneider, H., Blaauw, D., Dartnall, E., Coetzee, D.J., and Ballard, R.C. (2001). STD care in the South African private health sector. South African Medical Journal 91(2): 151-156.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Scott, V.E., Chopra, M., Conrad, L., and Ntuli, A. (2005). How equitable is the scaling up of HIV service provision in South Africa? South African Medical Journal 95(2): 109-113.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Smith, J.S. and Robinson, N.J. (2002). Age-specific prevalence of infection with herpes simplex virus types 2 and 1: a global review. Journal of Infectious Diseases 186(Suppl 1): S3-S28.
| Weblink | doi:10.1086/343739 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Stover, J. (2004). Projecting the demographic consequences of adult HIV prevalence trends: the Spectrum Projection Package. Sexually Transmitted Infections 80(Suppl 1): i14-i18.
| Weblink | doi:10.1136/sti.2004.010157 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Stover, J., Walker, N., Garnett, G., Salomon, J.A., Stanecki, K.A., Ghys, P.D., Grassly, N.C., Anderson, R.M., and Schwartländer, B. (2002). Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response? Lancet 360(9326): 73-77.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(02)09339-X |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Terceira, N., Gregson, S., Zaba, B., and Mason, P.R. (2003). The contribution of HIV to fertility decline in rural Zimbabwe, 1985-2000. Population Studies 57(2): 149-164.
| Weblink | doi:10.1080/0032472032000097074 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Van der Ploeg, C.P.B., Van Vliet, C., De Vlas, S., Ndinya-Achola, J.O., Fransen, L., Van Oortmarssen, G.J., Dik, J., and Habbema, F. (1998). STDSIM: a microsimulation model for decision support in STD control. Interfaces 28(3): 84-100.
| Weblink | doi:10.1287/inte.28.3.84 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Van der Ryst, E., Joubert, G., Steyn, F., Heunis, C, le Roux, J., and Williamson, C. (2001). HIV/AIDS-related knowledge, attitudes and practices among South African military recruits. South African Medical Journal 91(7): 587-591.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Voluntary HIV-1 Counselling and Testing Efficacy Study Group (2000). Efficacy of voluntary HIV-1 counselling and testing in individuals and couples in Kenya, Tanzania and Trinidad: a randomised trial. Lancet 356(9224): 103-112.
| Weblink | doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(00)02446-6 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
WHO International Collaborating Group for the study of the WHO Staging System (1993). Proposed 'World Health Organization staging system for HIV infection and disease': preliminary testing by an international collaborative cross-sectional study. AIDS 7(5): 711-718.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wiley, J., Herschkorn, S., and Padian, N. (1989). Heterogeneity in the probability of HIV transmission per sexual contact: the case of male-to-female transmission in penile-vaginal intercourse. Statistics in Medicine 8(1): 93-102.
| Weblink | doi:10.1002/sim.4780080110 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Williams, B., Gilgen, D., Campbell, C., MacPhail, C., Van Dam, C.J., Ballard, R.C., and Taljaard, D. (2000). The natural history of HIV / AIDS in South Africa: A biomedical and social survey in Carletonville. Johannesburg: Council for Scientific and Industrial Research.
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Wilson, T.E., Gore, M.E., Greenblatt, R., Cohen, M., Minkoff, H., Silver, S., Robison, E., Levine, A., and Gange, S.J. (2004). Changes in sexual behaviour among HIV-infected women after initiation of HAART. American Journal of Public Health 94(7): 1141-1146.
| Weblink | doi:10.2105/AJPH.94.7.1141 |
| Download reference in | RIS | BibTeX |
Articles