Volume 37 - Article 21 | Pages 669–708 
Women’s education, infant and child mortality, and fertility decline in urban and rural sub-Saharan Africa
Date received: | 06 Feb 2017 |
Date published: | 13 Sep 2017 |
Word count: | 7913 |
Keywords: | decomposition analysis, fertility decline, infant and child mortality, sub-Saharan Africa, women's education |
DOI: | 10.4054/DemRes.2017.37.21 |
Additional files: | readme.37-21 (text file, 1 kB) |
demographic-research.37-21 (zip file, 5 MB) | |
Abstract
Background: This paper provides estimates of the contributions of increased women’s education and reduced infant and child mortality to fertility declines in urban and rural areas of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa, using individual-level data.
Objective: The principal question that the paper addresses is: How much have increased women’s schooling and reduced mortality contributed to fertility declines in urban and rural places in each of 30 countries in sub-Saharan Africa? A secondary question is: What have been the changes in women’s schooling and mortality in urban and rural areas in these countries?
Methods: Data from the first and last Demographic and Health Surveys for each country is used, along with a decomposition technique that allows us to quantify how much of the observed fertility decline is attributable to increased education and how much is due to reduced mortality.
Results: In urban places, on average, increased women’s schooling accounts for 54% of observed fertility decline while reduced mortality contributes 30%. In rural areas with fertility decline, increased women’s education accounts for an average of 30% of the decline while reduced mortality accounts for an average of 35%. Results vary substantially by country and place of residence.
Conclusions: Accelerating increases in women’s schooling and decreases in infant and child mortality have the potential to accelerate fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa.
Contribution: The paper uses individual-level data to provide quantitative estimates of the importance of increased women’s schooling and reduced mortality in contributing to fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa.
Author's Affiliation
David Shapiro - Pennsylvania State University, United States of America
Michel Tenikue - Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER), Luxembourg
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