Volume 39 - Article 23 | Pages 671–684

The impact of proportional changes in age-specific mortality on life expectancy when the mortality rate is a log-linear function of age

By Michael Væth, Mette Vinther Skriver, Henrik Støvring

Print this page  Facebook  Twitter

 

 
Date received:12 Jun 2017
Date published:27 Sep 2018
Word count:2207
Keywords:force of mortality, Gompertz distribution, life expectancy
DOI:10.4054/DemRes.2018.39.23
Weblink:All publications in the ongoing Special Collection 8 "Formal Relationships" can be found at http://www.demographic-research.org/special/8/
 

Abstract

Background: Demographers and epidemiologists have investigated the dependence of life expectancy on proportional changes in the age-specific mortality.

Objective: To develop an approach that allows estimation of change in life expectancy from proportional changes in age-specific mortality and to identify aspects of the death rate that influence the accuracy of the estimation.

Results: We obtain an exact expression for the first derivative of the life expectancy with respect to the proportional change in age-specific mortality when the age-specific death rate is log-linear in age. We use the result to establish bounds for the change in life expectancy following a proportional change of the mortality. The result shows that the change in life expectancy is approximately linear in the logarithm of the proportional change of the mortality. In populations with low infant mortality, the slope of this linear relationship is essentially equal to minus the inverse of the slope of the log-linear age dependence of the death rate.

Contribution: In a wide range of mortality scenarios, the relationship between change in life expectancy and the logarithm of the proportional change of the mortality allows accurate approximation of a difference in life expectancy from a ratio of death rates.

Author's Affiliation

Michael Væth - Aarhus University, Denmark [Email]
Mette Vinther Skriver - Aarhus University, Denmark [Email]
Henrik Støvring - Aarhus University, Denmark [Email]

Most recent similar articles in Demographic Research

» Life expectancy is the death-weighted average of the reciprocal of the survival-specific force of mortality
Volume 22 - Article 5    | Keywords: force of mortality, life expectancy

» Survival as a Function of Life Expectancy
Volume 21 - Article 29    | Keywords: force of mortality, life expectancy

» High life expectancy and reversed socioeconomic gradients of elderly people in Mexico and Costa Rica
Volume 38 - Article 3    | Keywords: life expectancy

» Summertime, and the livin’ is easy: Winter and summer pseudoseasonal life expectancy in the United States
Volume 37 - Article 45    | Keywords: life expectancy

» Macroeconomic conditions and population health in Iceland
Volume 37 - Article 25    | Keywords: life expectancy